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Stocks struggle over tariff concerns
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Gold scores fresh record high, oil slips
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Bond markets increasingly pricing in recession risks
By Chibuike Oguh and Marc Jones
NEW YORK/LONDON, March 28 (Reuters) - Safe-haven gold
hit a fresh record high on Friday as an index of global shares
traded lower, weighed down by worries over a looming trade war
sparked by tariff decisions from U.S. President Donald Trump.
U.S. traders had new sticky inflation data to grumble about
but it was Trump's 25% tariffs on auto imports and plans
for much broader levies next week that continued to cause the
nail-biting.
On Wall Street, all three main indexes were losing ground
and were on track for their third straight session of losses.
The biggest losers were communication services, consumer
discretionary, technology and financial equities. Utilities
stocks were trading higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.62% to
41,620.85, the S&P 500 fell 1.88% to 5,586.60 and the
Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 17,340.79.
Europe's STOXX 600 index finished down 0.77% and
ended the week down 1.39%, dragged down by a nearly 1% drop by
the car and auto parts sector.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
fell 1.53% to 830.40. It is on track to end the week down 1.39%.
State Street's head of global macro strategy, Michael
Metcalfe, said that U.S. car tariffs had been more aggressive
than expected, especially as there had been no adjustments made
for Washington's neighbors like Mexico and Canada.
"What I don't know is whether the hawkishness of the auto
tariffs is going to translate to the broader tariffs that we are
going to get next week," Metcalfe said. "And that is keeping
risk appetite on the back foot."
Gold prices meanwhile set yet another new peak of
$3,086.70 as the threat of trade wars drives a rush towards the
safe-haven metal. It was last up 0.77% to $3,079.62 an ounce
For the quarter it is now up more than 17%, which is its
best quarterly performance since 1986.
Wasif Latif, chief investment officer at Sarmaya Partners in
New Jersey, said gold prices have been buoyed by rising
inflation, elevated geopolitical tensions, and fiscal risks,
particularly deficit spending in the U.S. and other countries.
"We continue to see inflation as being stubborn, sticky and
just won't go away. The geopolitical environment continues to be
risky and elevated ... You can see the fiscal risk on the U.S.
budget side but also broader western sovereign debt and it's
getting challenging with the budget continuing to run a deficit
increasingly and interest rates remaining stubbornly high,"
Latif said.
In the bond market, U.S. Treasury yields declined as
investors assessed the likely negative hit on growth from
Trump's tariffs. Traders in interest rate futures were betting
on a total of about 66 basis points in interest rate cuts this
year, according to LSEG data.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell
10.8 basis points to 4.261%.
Traders now see an 80% chance of a 25-basis-point (bps) ECB
rate cut in April from around a 50% chance a week ago. German
Bund yields, the euro zone's benchmark of borrowing
costs, rose 0.2 basis points to 2.735%.
In currency markets, the dollar weakened against major
including the Japanese yen and euro after the
hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data added to concerns about
tariffs.
The euro has been one of the big beneficiaries of
the greenback's struggles. It is up 4.2% this week against the
greenback.
The dollar weakened 0.7% to 150 against the Japanese yen
, while the euro rose 0.17% at $1.0819.
Against the Swiss franc, the dollar strengthened 0.05%
to 0.882 but weakened 0.01% to C$1.43 per dollar against the
Canadian dollar.
In commodities, oil prices turned flat as traders assessed
a tightening of crude supplies along with new U.S. tariffs and
their expected effect on the world's economy.
Brent crude futures were at $73.56 a barrel, down
0.63%. U.S. crude fell 0.8% to $69.37.