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European stock markets fall as central banks flag concerns
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PBOC, BoE and Riksbank hold rates, Switzerland cuts
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US stock futures turn red, dollar rises in Europe
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Chinese shares slide as high flying tech firms take hit
By Marc Jones
LONDON, March 20 (Reuters) - World stock markets slipped
on Thursday as the U.S. Federal Reserve and a trio of Europe's
top central banks warned about rising levels of global
uncertainty.
Trade war and actual war worries pushed Europe's main share
indexes down almost 1%. Wall Street futures were 0.5%
in the red, while safe-haven government bonds were back in
demand and gold hit its latest record high.
A central bank triple header provided a unerringly common
theme in Europe too.
"There's a lot of economic uncertainty at the moment," Bank
of England Governor Andrew Bailey said as the BoE held UK
interest rates.
Both Switzerland's and Sweden's central bank chiefs also
warned that uncertainty around the global economy and inflation
had increased significantly.
"The Fed yesterday, the Riksbank, the SNB, the BOE today -
central banks are all looking at very noisy data and rising
geopolitical risks," said James Rossiter, senior global
strategist at TD Securities.
"And markets are juggling that to the same degree. There is
low conviction in markets, just as there is low conviction among
central banks... everyone is just waiting to see."
The Fed on Wednesday left U.S. rates unchanged but traders
were pleased to see it maintain a projection for two
quarter-percentage-point rate cuts by year-end.
Policymakers revised up their inflation forecast for the
year however and marked down their outlook for economic growth,
citing risks from U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policies.
Still, investors took comfort from the Fed's "dot plot" and
Chair Jerome Powell's comments that tariff-driven inflation
would be "transitory" and largely confined to this year.
"We think unemployment will be the ultimate arbiter," PIMCO
economist Tiffany Wilding said, predicting the Fed would "cut
aggressively" if the jobless rate starts to move higher.
All the uncertainty and unknowns around inflation saw gold
scale yet another record high of $3,057.21.
In the bond markets, U.S. Treasury yields were back under
4.2% and Germany's Bund yields eased to 2.77% having
hit a 1-1/2 year high of 2.938% last week.
The dollar meanwhile jumped 0.6% having just hit a
5-month low. It rose to $1.0832 against the euro,
$1.2951 against the pound and to 148.60 yen.
Sterling climbed as far as $1.3015 - a four-month
high - overnight. The Bank of England's move to keep UK rates at
4.5% came with a warning against assuming they would be cut in
the coming months.
"The Bank of England is stuck between a rock and a hard
place with inflationary pressures mounting alongside a weak
growth outlook," said Zara Nokes, global market analyst at JP
Morgan Asset Management.
Both Switzerland's SNB and Sweden's Riksbank had already
come out with their decisions earlier in the day.
The former trimmed its borrowing costs to just 0.25% with a
warning about U.S. trade tariffs, while the Swedes kept theirs
at 2.25% amid stubborn inflation and a sluggish economy.
There was little reaction, other than a fractional dip by
the Swiss franc.
SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel said uncertainty around the
global economy and inflation had increased significantly. "At
present, the risks are predominantly to downside," he said.
CHINA DRAGS
U.S. stock indexes were set to open lower, as worries about
the fallout from U.S. tariff policies crept back into markets.
The post-Fed reaction failed to rally Asia overnight, with
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
finishing its day flat.
That was mainly due to China and Hong Kong.
Both markets have been on hot streaks this year, but
Thursday's 2.2% drop in the Hang Seng was its worst of
the month and Chinese online giants Tencent and Baidu ( BIDU )
both tumbled nearly 4% as their respective 30% and 70%
gains this year ran out of steam.
Carlos von Hardenberg co-founder of MCP Emerging Markets
described the recent surge in China tech stocks as "a bit of a
sucker's rally, because it reached the point where the valuation
was getting completely out of whack".
"I think it could evaporate almost overnight because we are
in the middle of a gigantic war about technology leadership."
China's central bank held its benchmark lending rates steady
for the fifth straight month, matching market expectations.
The yuan, which has been pressured by China's
wide yield differentials with the United States, barely budged
at 7.2354 per dollar in the onshore market. Its offshore
counterpart inched down 0.1% to 7.2383 per dollar.
Elsewhere, the Australian dollar tumbled 1% in
response to weaker-than-expected employment figures while data
showing New Zealand's economy grew faster than forecast at the
end of last year could not prevent a 1.2% drop in the Kiwi
dollar.
In commodities, oil prices ticked down as a
higher-than-expected fuel inventory drawdown in the U.S. and
renewed tensions in the Middle East countered strength in the
dollar.
Brent crude futures dipped to $70.8 a barrel, while
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) hovered at
$67.11 per barrel.