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European stock markets fall as central banks flag concerns
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U.S. stock futures push higher, dollar rises in Europe
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Chinese shares slide after tech-driven rally
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BoE expected to hold UK rates at 1200 GMT
By Marc Jones
LONDON, March 20 (Reuters) - World markets slipped on
Thursday as signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve and a number
of other top central banks that they remain in rate cut mode
amid global uncertainty kept the bears on top.
Trade war and actual war worries pushed Europe's main share
indexes nearly 1% into the red early on, while the dollar and
safe-haven government bonds both rose and gold scored its latest
record high overnight.
There was little reaction as Switzerland cut its interest
rates back towards zero. Sweden kept its borrowing costs steady,
while the Bank of England was also expected to sit tight with
its latest rate decision at 1200 GMT.
Wall Street futures were still pointing higher, just
about.
The Fed on Wednesday had left U.S. rates unchanged too but
traders were pleased to see it maintain a projection for two
quarter-percentage-point rate cuts by year-end.
Policymakers did revise up their inflation forecast for the
year and marked down their outlook for economic growth, citing
risks from U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policies.
Still, investors took comfort from the Fed's "dot plot" and
Chair Jerome Powell's comments that tariff-driven inflation
would be "transitory" and largely confined to this year.
"We think unemployment will be the ultimate arbiter," PIMCO
economist Tiffany Wilding said, predicting the Fed would "cut
aggressively" if the jobless rates starts to move higher.
The prospect of further Fed easing this year saw gold
scale yet another record high of $3,057.21.
In the bond markets U.S. Treasury yields dipped to 4.22% and
Germany's Bund yields eased to 2.77% after hitting
their lowest - 2.748% - in almost two weeks the day before and
well down from last week's the 1-1/2 year high of 2.938%.
That had all kept the dollar near its recent 5-month
low although it managed to nudge up 0.2% to $1.0893 against the
euro, $1.2971 against the pound and to 148.40
yen.
Sterling had been as high as $1.3015 - a four month
high - overnight. The Bank of England has its March interest
rate decision later and, like the Fed, is expected to stay on
hold - at 4.5% in the BoE's case.
"We expect the (Monetary Policy Committee) members to signal
the desire to see further disinflation as a reason to keep
policy on hold this month. They will affirm that the policy
direction remains towards further easing, but the timing will be
data-dependent," ANZ analysts said.
Both Switzerland's SNB and Sweden's Riksbank had already
come out with their decisions.
The former trimmed it borrowing costs back to just 0.25%
with a warning about U.S. trade tariffs, while the Swedes kept
theirs at 2.25% amid stubborn inflation and a sluggish economy.
There was little reaction, other than a fractional dip by
the Swiss franc.
SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel said uncertainty around the
global economy and inflation had increased significantly.
"As a result, the outlook for inflation in Switzerland too
is currently very uncertain. At present, the risks are
predominantly to downside," he said after the SNB's rate
decision.
CHINA DRAGS
The post-Fed cheer had failed to rally Asia overnight, with
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
finishing its day flat.
That was mainly due to China and Hong Kong.
Both markets have been on hot streaks this year, but
Thursday's 2.2% drop in the Hang Seng was its worst of
the month and Chinese online giants Tencent and Baidu ( BIDU )
both tumbled nearly 4% as their respective 30% and 70%
gains this year ran out of steam.
Carlos von Hardenberg co-founder of MCP Emerging Markets
described the recent surge in China tech stocks as "a bit of a
suckers rally, because it reached the point where the valuation
was getting completely out of whack".
"I think it could evaporate almost overnight because we are
in the middle of a gigantic war about technology leadership."
China's central bank had held its benchmark lending rates
steady for the fifth straight month on Thursday, matching market
expectations.
The yuan, which has been pressured by China's
wide yield differentials with the United States, barely budged
at 7.2354 per dollar in the onshore market. Its offshore
counterpart inched down 0.1% to 7.2383 per dollar.
Elsewhere, the Australian dollar tumbled 1% in
response to weaker-than-expected employment figures while data
showing New Zealand's economy grew faster than forecast at the
end of last year could prevent a 1.2% drop in the Kiwi dollar
.
In commodities, oil prices ticked higher owing in part to an
escalation of tensions in the Middle East as more Israeli
airstrikes across Gaza left the ceasefire with Hamas all but
over.
Brent crude futures rose 0.6% to $71.24 a barrel,
while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) made
similar gains to $67.52 per barrel.