(Updates headline, first paragraph and prices throughout with
U.S. markets, adds analyst comment)
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Wall Street stocks trade lower
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Trump says US tariffs to cover all countries
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Flight to safety buoys bonds, gold hits record
By Samuel Indyk and Chibuike Oguh
NEW YORK/LONDON, March 31 (Reuters) - Global equity
markets were lower and safe-haven gold hit a fresh record high
on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump said tariffs would
essentially cover all countries, stoking worries a global trade
war could lead to a recession.
Trump's comments to reporters on Air Force One seemed to
dash hopes the levies would be limited to a smaller group of
countries with the biggest trade imbalances.
Trump is due to receive tariff recommendations on Tuesday
and announce initial levels on Wednesday, followed by auto
tariffs the day after.
On Wall Street, all three main indexes were trading lower,
led by losses in consumer discretionary, technology and
communication services stocks. Energy, consumer staples,
utilities and real estate stocks were making gains.
"What the Trump administration has shown us so far is that
you should not expect a consistent approach," said George
Lagarias, chief economist at Forvis Mazars.
"This is what scares the market the most. Inconsistency
breeds uncertainty, and markets hate uncertainty."
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.11% to
41,538.47, the S&P 500 fell 0.90% to 5,530.99 and the
Nasdaq Composite fell 2.00% to 16,976.48.
Europe's STOXX 600 fell 1.40% to its lowest in
almost eight weeks, while major indexes in Frankfurt,
London and Paris fell between 1.7% and 2%.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
shed 1.9%.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs now see a 35% chance of a U.S.
recession, up from 20% previously, saying they expect Trump to
announce reciprocal tariffs that average 15% across all U.S.
trading partners on April 2.
Data out on Friday underlined the risks as a key measure of
core inflation rose by more than expected in February while
consumer spending disappointed.
That raised the stakes for the March payrolls report due on
Friday, where any outcome below the 140,000 gain expected would
only add to recession fears.
"The current market narratives center on this fear of
stagflation, which conceptually could be the worst possible
combination for stocks," said Talley Leger, chief market
strategist at The Wealth Consulting Group in New Jersey.
"So in a slowing growth environment, earnings would
decelerate, or even collapse in a recession. That's another big
fear in the market. And on the other side, spiralling inflation
would squeeze stocks on the valuation channel."
Gold prices extended their stellar run, hitting another
record high of $3,128.06. Spot gold rose 1.18% to
$3,120.27 an ounce, while U.S. gold futures were up 1.3%
at $3,126.60 an ounce.
In currency markets, the dollar weakened against the
Japanese yen but strengthened against the euro amid the
uncertainty around tariffs.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened
0.13% to 149.63. The euro was down 0.27% at $1.0799.
Against the Swiss franc, the dollar strengthened 0.48% to
0.885 franc.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
rose 0.22%.
Bond investors seemed to be betting the slowdown in U.S.
economic growth will outweigh a temporary lift in inflation and
prompt the Fed to cut rates by about 80 basis points this year.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell
3.5 basis points to 4.219%. In Europe, the yield on benchmark
German 10-year Bunds fell 2.6 basis points to
2.706%.
The outlook for rates could become clearer when Fed Chair
Jerome Powell speaks on Friday, following a host of other Fed
speakers this week.
Brent rose 1.41% to $74.67 a barrel, while U.S.
crude added 2.34% to $70.99 per barrel as Trump
threatened secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian oil if he felt
Moscow was blocking efforts to end the war in Ukraine.