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U.S. stocks off to solid start in 2025
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U.S. yields ease but 10-year still above 4.5%
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Dollar continues recent strength, hits 2-year high
(Updates with open of U.S. markets)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Jan 2 (Reuters) - Global stocks advanced on
Thursday after a four-session drop to end 2024, while the dollar
strengthened after economic data pointed to a U.S. labor market
that remained on solid footing.
On Wall Street, U.S. stocks were higher in the early stages
of trading, with the S&P 500 on track to snap a four session
streak of declines to end 2024.
Data from the U.S. Labor Department showed the number of
Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits
dropped to an eight-month low of 211,000 last week, below the
222,000 estimate of economists polled by Reuters.
Gains were led by the energy and communication
services sectors, which each rose by more than 1%.
"Investors are hopeful that a goldilocks scenario will be
the story of 2025, amid promises of lower taxes and the
deregulation under a second Trump presidency," said Susannah
Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 115.48 points,
or 0.26%, to 42,655.29, the S&P 500 rose 21.65 points, or
0.38%, to 5,903.94 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 80.30
points, or 0.43%, to 19,393.01.
European stocks rose modestly after a sluggish start to the
session, also buoyed by energy names.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
1.84 points, or 0.23%, to 843.38 and was on track for its
biggest daily percentage gain since Dec. 24. Europe's STOXX 600
index rose 0.3%.
The dollar jumped to a two-year high on Thursday, building
on the strong gains from the prior year as expectations remained
intact that growth in the U.S. economy will outpace that of its
peers, keeping the Federal Reserve on a slower rate cut path and
interest rates elevated.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
rose 0.46% to 109.04 after climbing to 109.12, its highest since
Nov. 10, 2022.
"In terms of 2025 economic growth, there's no rival to the
dollar," Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive in
Toronto, said.
"Capital flows dominate the turn of the year and the U.S.
stock market has really put to shame every other global market,"
Button added. "The dollar is the only game in town until there
is a genuine stumble in the U.S. economy."
The euro was down 0.63% at $1.029 after slumping to
$1.028, its lowest since Nov 22, 2022.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened
0.06% to 156.97. Sterling weakened 1.13% to $1.2376 and
was on pace for its biggest daily percentage drop since Nov. 6.
Stocks had stumbled heading into the end of the year,
denting a year-long rally fueled by growth expectations
surrounding artificial intelligence, anticipated rate cuts from
the Federal Reserve, and more recently, the likelihood of
deregulation policies from the incoming Trump administration
ahead of the Jan. 20 inauguration.
However, the recent economic forecast from the Fed, along
with worries that President-elect Donald Trump's policies such
as tariffs may prove to be inflationary, have sent yields higher
and created a stumbling block for equities.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell
3.6 basis points to 4.541%, but remained above the 4.5% mark
that analysts see as a problematic level for stocks.
Oil prices advanced, with U.S. crude up 2.38% to
$73.44 a barrel and Brent climbed to $76.32 per barrel,
up 2.25%, on optimism over China's economy and fuel demand after
a pledge by President Xi Jinping to promote growth.