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World stocks near record high after bumper Fed cut
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Commodities cheer hopes of economic lift
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Bond markets take it all in their stride, BoE up next
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Graphic: World FX rates http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Sept 19 (Reuters) - A wave of risk appetite
swept global financial markets higher from stocks and the dollar
to gold and oil on Thursday, after the U.S. Federal Reserve
kicked off its long-awaited interest rate cutting cycle with a
half point move.
Europe was waiting to see if the Bank of England delivers a
surprise cut of its own later. That is seen as only an outside
chance, so for the time being the bulls were content with the
first Fed cut in four years.
The cut, and the prospect of more before the end of the
year, pushed MSCI's 47-country world stocks index
close to a record high. Wall Street futures
were up after the S&P 500 hit its own all-time peak
overnight, and Europe also opened strongly.
In currency markets, the dollar overcame its initial
post-Fed dip. London's gold bugs basked in
bullion's latest highs, and oil and the industrial
metals complex were stronger on the view that lower rates equals
stronger demand.
"The Fed delivered a very dovish rate cut. This bodes well
for risk assets," Brown Brothers Harriman Senior Markets
Strategist Elias Haddad said, adding that this was likely to
keep the pressure on the dollar.
The U.S. central bank lowered its benchmark policy rate by
50 basis points to 4.75%-5%. It also dramatically cut the median
'dot plot' profile on where its rate setters expect rates to be
in future, though Fed chief Jerome Powell emphasised prudence.
"I do not think that anyone should look at this and say, oh,
this is the new pace," Powell told reporters after the half
point cut was announced.
"We're recalibrating policy down over time to a more neutral
level. And we're moving at the pace that we think is
appropriate, given developments in the economy."
In Europe, the dollar was well off recent lows hit against
the euro, at $1.1127, and steady around 142.70 yen,
after climbing as high as 143.95.
Bond markets were recalibrating too after their recent busy
spell. Ten-year Treasury yields were at just under
3.7% compared with 4.7% back in April, while Europe's benchmark
- the 10-year German Bund - was at 2.2%, a 1-1/2
week high.
BANK OF ENGLAND
It wasn't all about the Fed. Norway's central bank held its
rates at a 16-year high but signalled it might cut them next
year, while a Bank of England decision was due at 1100 GMT.
Sticky UK services inflation data on Wednesday has seen
traders temper their bets that the BoE might trim the UK's 5%
interest rate again, although they are still pricing a near 20%
possibility.
In Asia overnight, the bulls drove Japan's Nikkei up
2.1% and stock markets in Australia and Indonesia
to record highs.
Expectations that the People's Bank of China will also ease
its policy on Friday helped too. Chinese bond yields dipped
again, the yuan hit a 16-month peak of 7.0640 against
the dollar, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped over 2%.
One dampener was South Korea returning from a holiday with
heavy selling in chipmakers, after a downbeat Morgan Stanley
note that halved SK Hynix's ( HXSCF ) target price. SK Hynix ( HXSCF ) shares
tumbled 6% and Samsung fell 1.6%.
No such worries for commodity markets. Oil prices were up
over 1%, with benchmark Brent crude futures climbing
back above $74 a barrel for the first time in over a week and
U.S. crude at $71.50.
Bellwether global industrial metals copper, aluminum
and nickel all rose 1-1.4%.
The Bank of Japan will round out a bonanza week for interest
rate decisions on Friday. It is not expected to do anything this
meeting but in stark contrast to the broader global trend it
could line up another rate hike for as soon as October.
(Additional reporting by Tom Westbrook in Singapore; Editing by
Mark Potter)