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World stocks push for record high after bumper Fed cut
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Commodities cheer hopes of economic lift
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Bond markets take it all in their stride
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Sterling rallies has BoE holds rates, continues bond run
down
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Graphic: World FX rates http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Sept 19 (Reuters) - Resurgent risk appetite
swept global financial markets higher from stocks and metals to
gold and oil on Thursday, after the U.S. Federal Reserve kicked
off its long-awaited interest rate cutting cycle with a half
point move.
Europe didn't seem to mind that the Bank of England opted
against a second cut in as many months and, with Wall Street
futures markets pointing to another round of record highs
shortly, the first Fed cut in four years was clearly uplifting.
The cut, and the prospect of more before the end of the
year, pushed MSCI's 47-country world stocks index
close to a record high too while Europe's main
bourses were all more than 1% stronger.
In currency markets, the dollar had largely overcome
its initial post-Fed dip. Gold was up while oil
and the industrial metals complex were stronger on the
view that lower rates equals stronger demand.
"The Fed delivered a very dovish rate cut. This bodes well
for risk assets," Brown Brothers Harriman Senior Markets
Strategist Elias Haddad said.
The U.S. central bank lowered its benchmark policy rate by
50 basis points to 4.75%-5%. It also dramatically cut the median
'dot plot' profile on where its rate setters expect rates to be
in future, though Fed chief Jerome Powell emphasized prudence.
"I do not think that anyone should look at this and say, oh,
this is the new pace," Powell told reporters after the half
point cut was announced.
"We're recalibrating policy down over time to a more neutral
level. And we're moving at the pace that we think is
appropriate, given developments in the economy."
In Europe, the dollar was off recent lows hit against the
euro, at $1.1157 and up 0.5% on the yen at 142.96 yen,
after climbing as high as 143.95. It couldn't fend off
high-flying sterling though, which was at its highest since
early 2022 and buying $1.33.
As well as keeping rates steady, BoE policymakers voted to
run down its QE-era stock of British government bonds by another
100 billion pounds over the coming 12 months.
Bond markets were recalibrating too after their recent busy
spell. Ten-year Treasury yields were just under 3.7%
compared with 4.7% back in April, while Europe's benchmark - the
10-year German Bund - was at 2.2%, a 1-1/2 week
high.
CUT OR COVER
It wasn't just all about the Fed and BoE. Norway's central
bank held its rates at a 16-year high but it signalled it might
cut them next year, while Wednesday saw Brazil, which has been
cutting its rates this year, raise them again.
In Asia overnight, the bulls drove Japan's Nikkei up
2.1% and stock markets in Australia and Indonesia
to record highs.
Expectations that the People's Bank of China will also ease
its policy rate on Friday helped too. Chinese bond yields dipped
again, the yuan hit a 16-month peak of 7.0640 against
the dollar, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped over 2%.
One dampener was South Korea returning from a holiday with
heavy selling in chipmakers, after a downbeat Morgan Stanley
note that halved SK Hynix's ( HXSCF ) target price. SK Hynix ( HXSCF ) shares
tumbled 6% and Samsung fell 1.6%.
No such worries for commodity markets. Oil prices were up
over 1%, with benchmark Brent crude futures climbing
back above $74 a barrel for the first time in over a week and
U.S. crude at $71.50.
Bellwether global industrial metals copper, aluminum
and nickel all rose 1-1.4%.
The Bank of Japan will round out a bonanza week for interest
rate decisions on Friday. It is not expected to do anything this
meeting but, in stark contrast to the broader global trend, it
could line up another rate hike for as soon as October.