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Stocks extend global selloff on Trump's tariffs
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Japanese banks hard hit
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Investors fear U.S. recession, ramp up bets on Fed rate
cuts
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Safe-haven assets rise, gold near record high
(Updates to Asia afternoon)
By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE, April 4 (Reuters) - Japanese banks tanked on
Friday and stocks globally extended a punishing selloff in the
wake of U.S. President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs, helping
drive a rally in U.S. Treasuries and supporting gold near a
record peak.
Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields slid under 4% and
traders priced in more than 100 basis points of Federal Reserve
rate cuts this year after Washington's steepest trade barriers
in more than 100 years stoked fears of a global recession.
A rush into Japanese government bonds (JGBs) caused
yields there to plunge to what could be their biggest weekly
drop in three decades, as worries about recession turned to a
manic bid for safety.
"If the current slate of tariffs holds, a Q2 or Q3 recession
is very possible, as is a bear market," said David Bahnsen,
chief investment officer at The Bahnsen Group.
"The question is, does President Trump seek some sort of
off-ramp for these policies if and when we see a bear market in
the stock market. We believe Trump will then pivot to focus on
the number of companies that are making significant investments
in the U.S., but it's unclear that would reverse market
sentiment."
It was a sea of red in Asia, even with markets in China,
Hong Kong and Taiwan closed for a holiday, with indexes in Tokyo
among the largest losers.
The Nikkei sank more than 4% and was set for a
weekly decline nearing 10%, the sharpest drop in more than five
years.
The rout was led by banking stocks, as the spectre of
Trump's tariffs and their potential impact on economic growth
stoked speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may need to
delay raising interest rates.
The banking index dived 11%, making it the worst
performer and triggering circuit breakers.
"Banks in Japan are caught in the crossfire of waning
rate-hike expectations coinciding with the market coming to
terms with increased chances of a global recession," said Jon
Withaar, who manages an Asia special situations hedge fund at
Pictet Asset Management.
Trump's latest tariff salvo has sparked an investor stampede
for safe havens such as government bonds, the yen and gold as
they hastily dumped risk assets.
S&P 500 companies lost a combined $2.4 trillion in stock
market value overnight, their biggest one-day loss since the
coronavirus pandemic hit global markets on March 16, 2020, while
other Wall Street indexes similarly suffered sharp falls.
The declines looked set to continue into Friday as U.S.
stock futures pointed to further weakness, with Nasdaq futures
sliding more than 1% while S&P 500 futures lost
0.9%. European futures showed weakness there would
persist.
U.S. Treasury yields slid as investors poured into the
safe-haven bonds. Bond yields move inversely to prices.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield struck a
six-month low of 3.9680%, while the two-year yield
bottomed at 3.6090%, also its lowest level since October.
"Central banks are not well-equipped to deal with
stagflation as the impacts of slower growth and higher inflation
pull policy in opposing directions," said David Doyle, head of
economics at Macquarie Group.
"This means that stronger core inflation is likely to limit
the extent of any policy response from the Fed due to the
headwinds created for growth."
Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to speak later on Friday and
investors will be looking out for his latest assessment of the
U.S. economy and any clues on the policy outlook following
Trump's fresh tariff salvo.
In the foreign exchange market, the risk-sensitive
Australian and New Zealand dollars tumbled
more than 1% each.
The dollar was down nearly 0.5% against the yen at
145.41, having tumbled 2.2% in the previous session, its
steepest daily fall in more than two years. The euro
rose 0.39% to $1.1095 after a 1.9% jump on Thursday.
Against a basket of currencies, the dollar languished
near a six-month low at 101.60.
Elsewhere, spot gold was perched near a record high
at $3,103.97 an ounce and was on track for a fifth straight
weekly gain, as worries about the impact of Trump's tariffs on
the global economy boosted the metal's safe-haven appeal.
Oil, a proxy for economic activity, extended its
steep decline from the previous session.