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Stocks turn red after gaining earlier
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Dollar trading choppy, falls slightly against yen
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Treasury yields fall; oil prices settle little changed
(Updated prices at 3:01 p.m. ET/1901 GMT)
By Sinéad Carew and Marc Jones
NEW YORK/ LONDON, Sept 5 (Reuters) - MSCI's global
equities index edged down on Thursday as investors anxiously
assessed mixed economic data while they waited for Friday's
crucial jobs report and oil prices held near 14-month lows as
demand worries offset draws on inventories.
U.S. Treasury yields fell and two-year yields reached a
15-month low after ADP's private sector August jobs data showed
fewer new jobs than anticipated.
Thursday's data showed U.S. private employers hired the
fewest workers in 3-1/2 years in August while the July number
was revised lower, potentially hinting at a sharp labor market
slowdown.
The weak data did little to calm investor jitters as they
waited for Friday's U.S. non-farm payroll report for August,
which is expected to clarify how fast the U.S. Federal Reserve
will cut interest rates at its September meeting. Economists are
expecting 160,000 new jobs for August up from 114,000 in July.
While bets have increased to 41% from 34% a week ago that
the Fed might kick-off its long-awaited easing cycle with a half
percentage point move this month, traders still see a roughly
59% probability that the cut will just be a quarter of a
percentage point according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
On Tuesday, Wall Street indexes suffered their biggest daily
losses in almost a month as investor anxiety about the U.S.
economy intensified.
Tuesday's decline "did some damage to the psyche of the
majority of the bulls and kept people a little more nervous
yesterday and today," said Michael James, managing director of
equity trading at Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles.
"Today's data was similarly softer making it more
likely we're going to have a meaningful move in the market on
the jobs report tomorrow morning," said James, noting that
"increased anxiety levels will bring about more trimming of
positions than adding to positions."
Still, Thursday's data also showed steady U.S. services
sector activity in August with the Institute for Supply
Management's non-manufacturing purchasing managers index at 51.5
last month compared to 51.4 in July.
But while the services data appeared to encourage traders
earlier in the U.S. trading session, stock indexes lost steam as
investors turned their focus to Friday's data.
On Wall Street, at 03:01 p.m. the Dow Jones Industrial
Average fell 186.52 points, or 0.46%, to 40,789.95, the
S&P 500 lost 13.07 points, or 0.24%, to 5,506.95 and the
Nasdaq Composite gained 50.34 points, or 0.29%, to
17,134.64.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe fell
1.38 points, or 0.17%, to 813.67 while earlier in the day,
Europe's STOXX 600 index closed down 0.54%.
In currencies, trading was choppy as investors evaluated the
steady services data against the weak jobs number as they looked
for clues on the path for interest rates.
"The services numbers relieved some angst about the
strength of the economy," said Adam Button, chief currency
analyst, at Forexlive in Toronto. "There are no signs of a hard
landing in any of the numbers. The market is hanging on every
data point right now."
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
fell 0.16% to 101.10.
The euro was up 0.2% at $1.1104 while against the
Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.22% to 143.42.
In Treasuries, the yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
fell 3.9 basis points to 3.729%, from 3.768% late on
Wednesday while the 30-year bond yield fell 4.6
basis points to 4.0207%.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves
in step with interest rate expectations, fell 2 basis points to
3.7497%, from 3.77% late on Wednesday.
And a closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield
curve measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year
Treasury notes, seen as an indicator of economic
expectations, was at a negative 2.3 basis points.
In energy markets, oil ended the session barely changed as
worries about demand in the U.S. and China and a likely rise in
supplies out of Libya offset a big, bullish withdrawal from U.S.
inventories and a delay to output increases by OPEC+ producers.
U.S. crude settled down 0.07% or 5 cents at $69.15 a
barrel while Brent closed at $72.69 per barrel, down 1
cent on the day.
Gold prices gained as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields
fell as signs the labor market was losing steam led investors to
consider a super-sized rate cut from the Fed.
Spot gold added 0.85% to $2,515.38 an ounce. U.S.
gold futures gained 0.57% to $2,507.60 an ounce.