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S&P 500 futures rise 0.6%, euro firm above $1.08
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Traders brace for news on tariff barrage
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PMIs, US PCE, China earnings in focus
By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, March 24 (Reuters) - Financial markets made
an mixed start on Monday with U.S. stock futures rising but the
dollar wavering ahead of a week driven by data, Chinese earnings
and the threat of steep U.S. tariff hikes on the horizon.
S&P 500 futures were up about 0.6% in the Asia
morning and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.8%. Japan's Nikkei
and Hong Kong's Hang Seng climbed about 0.2%
The euro, which fell slightly last week, was up
about 0.2% at $1.0835 in early trade. In emerging markets,
Turkey's lira was on a knife's edge as the jailing
of President Tayyip Erdogan's main rival unsettles investors.
Shares in Australia-listed fibre-cement maker James Hardie
fell 12% after it said it would buy U.S. outdoor
building products maker AZEK Company ( AZEK ) for $8.8 billion
in cash and stock.
The week holds global purchasing managers index gauges, the
U.S. Federal Reserve's preferred inflation reading, inflation
data in Australia and Japan, a budget update in Britain and
major earnings in China.
But it is likely to be updates on U.S. President Donald
Trump's plans to for global reciprocal tariffs from April 2 that
drives markets, and after a volatile month for stocks, bonds and
currencies, analysts said there is no obvious trade ahead.
"It's very difficult to really devise a structural
playbook," said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.
"You've got to put your mind into the head of the consumer
and households," he said, since it has been fears of a slowdown
in the world's biggest economy that has led to weeks of selling
dollars and stocks and a strong rally for Treasuries.
"Anything that feeds into this higher probability of
recession, higher probability of a stagflationary environment
... or that price pressures aren't transitory is where we start
to get panicky a bit."
Trump has vowed to impose a complicated barrage of tariffs
next week, the details of which are not clear save that they are
to be calculated to reflect the impact of foreign tariffs as
well as foreign value-added taxes on imports.
The S&P 500 eked out a gain on Friday after Trump
hinted at flexibility, but after a rollercoaster first two
months in power - including tariff hits on China, Mexico and
Canada - traders are shy of betting that Trump is ready to cut
deals.
Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields have fallen nearly
40 basis points from mid-February highs and were last steady at
4.27% and investors have been drawn abroad from U.S. stocks,
with sharp rallies in Hong Kong and Europe as Wall Street fell.
Hong Kong shares are up 18% so far this year, the largest
gain of any major market, but a drop of 4.4% over two sessions
late last week pointed to a pause in the flow of money while
traders consider their - and Trump's - next moves.
Earnings at automaker BYD, video platform
Kuaishou ( KUASF ) as well as Chinese banks and several property
developers will be in focus. In the U.S., discount retailer
Dollar Tree ( DLTR ) and up-market athletic clothier Lululemon
are on the calendar.
Gold sat just shy of last week's record high, buying
$3,021 an ounce, while bitcoin held at $85,860.
"Cash and safe havens remain the counterbalance to any
larger shift in strategy," said Bob Savage, head of markets
macro strategy at BNY in a note to clients.
"We expect a series of diplomatic meetings to avert extreme
tariffs eventually, but not by April, leaving the sequencing
concerns over Trump's policy shifts continuing to move markets
with ongoing economic uncertainty."