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S&P 500 futures rise 0.7%, euro firm above $1.08
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Traders brace for news on tariff barrage
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PMIs, US PCE, China earnings in focus
(Updates to Asia afternoon)
By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, March 24 (Reuters) - Financial markets made
an optimistic start on Monday with U.S. stock futures rising and
the dollar firm ahead of a week driven by data, and the threat
of steep U.S. tariff hikes on the horizon.
S&P 500 futures were up about 0.7% in the Asia
session and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.8%. European
futures were up 0.3% in the Asia afternoon.
Japan's Nikkei and Hong Kong's Hang Seng
wobbled around flat and the euro, which fell slightly last week,
steadied at $1.0822.
In emerging markets, Indonesia's fragile stock market
suffered another sharp fall while Turkey's lira
was on a knife's edge as the jailing of President
Tayyip Erdogan's main rival has unsettled investors.
Shares in Australia-listed fibre-cement maker James Hardie
fell 14.5% after it said it would buy U.S. outdoor
building products maker AZEK Company ( AZEK ) for $8.8 billion
in cash and stock.
The week holds global purchasing managers index gauges, the
U.S. Federal Reserve's preferred inflation reading, inflation
data in Australia and Japan, a budget update in Britain and
major earnings in China.
But it is likely to be updates on U.S. President Donald
Trump's plans for global reciprocal tariffs from April 2 that
drives markets, and after a volatile month for stocks, bonds and
currencies, analysts said there is no obvious trade ahead.
"It's very difficult to really devise a structural
playbook," said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.
"You've got to put your mind into the head of the consumer
and households," he said, since it has been fears of a slowdown
in the world's biggest economy that has led to weeks of selling
dollars and stocks and a strong rally for Treasuries.
"Anything that feeds into this higher probability of
recession, higher probability of a stagflationary environment
... or that price pressures aren't transitory is where we start
to get panicky a bit."
Trump has vowed to impose a complicated barrage of tariffs
next week, the details of which are not clear save that they are
to be calculated to reflect the impact of foreign tariffs as
well as foreign value-added taxes on imports.
The S&P 500 eked out a gain on Friday after Trump
hinted at flexibility, but after a rollercoaster first two
months in power - including tariff hits on China, Mexico and
Canada - traders are shy of betting that Trump is ready to cut
deals.
Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields have fallen 38
basis points from mid-February highs to sit at 4.28% and
investors have been drawn abroad from U.S. stocks, with sharp
rallies in Hong Kong and Europe as Wall Street indexes fell.
Hong Kong shares are up about 18% so far this year, the
largest gain of any major market, but a drop of 4.4% over two
sessions late last week pointed to a pause in the flow of money
while traders consider their - and Trump's - next moves.
Earnings at automaker BYD, video platform
Kuaishou ( KUASF ) as well as Chinese banks and several property
developers will be in focus. Shares in China's largest food
delivery firm Meituan ( MPNGF ) fell 3% after it posted revenue
more or less in line with estimates on Friday.
In the U.S., discount retailer Dollar Tree ( DLTR ) and
up-market athletic clothier Lululemon are on the
calendar.
Gold sat just shy of last week's record high, buying
$3,021 an ounce, while bitcoin held at $87,000.
"Cash and safe havens remain the counterbalance to any
larger shift in strategy," said Bob Savage, head of markets
macro strategy at BNY in a note to clients.
"We expect a series of diplomatic meetings to avert extreme
tariffs eventually, but not by April, leaving the sequencing
concerns over Trump's policy shifts continuing to move markets
with ongoing economic uncertainty."