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Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
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Nikkei dives as markets ponder risk of higher rates
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China shares surge again on stimulus rush
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Fed's Powell to speak ahead of payrolls test
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Oil prices supported by Mideast strife
(Recasts top, adds quote in paragraph 12, updates prices
throughout)
By Nell Mackenzie and Wayne Cole
LONDON/SYDNEY, Sept 30 (Reuters) - World shares ticked
lower on Monday as economic uncertainty fuelled by strife in the
Middle East offset policy measures meant to buoy markets, ahead
of a week packed with data that could determine central banks'
next steps.
Continued Israeli strikes across Lebanon added geopolitical
uncertainty to the mix, though oil prices were still restrained
by the risk of increased supply.
Brent crude oil futures rose 52 cents to $72.50,
while West Texas Intermediate was up 40 cents at $68.58.
While storm Helene had mostly passed, leaving devastation in
many parts of the southern United States, a new tropical
depression headed for landfall was expected to become another
large and powerful hurricane later this week.
Hurricanes that hit the U.S. South and Eastern seaboard
disrupt the supply chain of oil products and stoke supply
concerns from the world's current largest producer of oil.
Meanwhile, in China brokerages were overwhelmed by a
pre-holiday rush of retail clients, jamming up trading systems
as investors rotated money out of bonds and deposits into
stocks.
Government stimulus measures announced last week
continued to boost Chinese stock markets, with the blue-chip
CSI300 closing up 8.5%, its biggest daily gain since
2008 and adding to its 25% run-up in the last five trading
sessions.
The Shanghai Composite climbed 7.1%, on top of last
week's 13% rally. Japan's Nikkei dived, closing down about 5% on
concerns the country's new prime minister favoured normalising
interest rates but might hike taxes on investments and
corporations.
That helped the dollar to hold around 142.44 yen,
after sliding 1.8% on Friday from a 146.49 top.
Frothy markets in Asia offered no succour to Europe, which
opened lower on Monday as investors prepared for a week packed
with economic data.
The STOXX 600 was last down 0.7%, weighed down by
profit warnings and poor growth outlooks from the auto sector.
"The Chinese stimulus has created some noise but the market
may be front-running these first few steps, which might lead to
disappointment later if measures don't continue," said Matt
Tickle, chief investment officer at consultancy Barnett
Waddingham.
Tickle said he'd take little comfort on longer term themes
until he was certain on what would come next, not only from
China's central bank, but from policymakers around the world.
"It's central bank watch, yet again," said Tickle.
The week is packed with major U.S. economic data including a
payrolls report that could decide whether the Federal Reserve
delivers another outsized rate cut in November.
WALL ST ON A ROLL
The rally in China helped MSCI's broadest index of
Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan firm 0.1%,
having surged over 6% last week to a seven-month high.
Wall Street also had a rousing week helped by a benign
reading on core U.S. inflation on Friday that left the door open
to another half-point rate cut from the Fed.
Futures imply around a 55% chance the Fed will ease
by 50 basis points on Nov. 7, though the presidential election
two days earlier remains a major unknown.
A host of Fed speakers will have their say this week, led by
Chair Jerome Powell later on Monday. Also due are data on job
openings and private hiring, along with ISM surveys on
manufacturing and services.
S&P 500 futures dipped 0.1%, while Nasdaq futures
ticked down 0.2%. The S&P 500 index is up 20%
year-to-date and on track for its strongest January-September
performance since 1997.
In currency markets, the dollar index fell 0.2% to 100.22
after easing 0.3% last week. The euro climbed 0.3% to
$1.1200, having bounced on Friday after a benign U.S.
inflation report.
The euro zone releases inflation figures this week, along
with producer prices and unemployment. German inflation and
retail sales are due later on Monday, while European Central
Bank President Christine Lagarde speaks to the European
parliament.
A softer dollar combined with lower bond yields to help gold
reach $2,685 an ounce. It was last at $2,650 an ounce,
and on track for its best quarter since 2016.