(Updates with early European trading)
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Oil prices hover at two-week highs
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Investors eyeing more consumption-led stimulus from China
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U.S. futures slide on recession worries
By Rae Wee and Amanda Cooper
SINGAPORE/LONDON, March 17 (Reuters) - Oil hit two-week
highs on Monday, while U.S. futures slid and those in Europe
edged up, as investors braced for more of the policy bombshells
that have created a sharp divergence between the performance of
U.S. markets and those elsewhere.
The week is packed with central bank meetings, including the
Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England, all
of which are widely expected to hold fire, as policymakers try
to see through the current economic uncertainty.
Over the weekend the U.S. defense secretary said the country
would continue attacking Yemen's Houthis until they ended
attacks on shipping, which drove up oil prices on Monday as
investors worried about possible disruptions to supply.
Oil prices initially rallied more than 1%, before
paring some of those gains on the prospect of an imminent end to
the Ukraine war, which could bring more Russian energy supplies
back to Western markets.
U.S. President Donald Trump said he plans to speak to
Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday and discuss ending
the war in Ukraine, after positive talks between U.S. and
Russian officials in Moscow.
Brent futures were last up 0.61% at $71.01 per
barrel, while U.S. crude futures rose 0.63% to $67.60 a
barrel.
Shares in Europe rose on Monday, trading comfortably above
last week's multi-week lows. The STOXX 600 was up 0.4%
on the day, bringing gains for the year to 7.6%, in stark
contrast to the S&P 500, which last week entered
correction territory, with a year-to-date loss of 4.3%.
European stocks and the euro have rallied sharply this
month, driven in large part by Germany's plan to overhaul its
fiscal policy that includes a 500-billion euro ($540 billion)
fund for infrastructure and changes to borrowing rules.
Germany's parliamentary budget committee on Sunday approved
the bill, which will be voted upon in the lower house of
parliament on Tuesday and by the upper house on Friday.
The euro was perched near a five-month high on
Monday and last bought $1.0881.
"The idea of Germany's fiscal loosening being more in the
(euro)'s price will be assessed on Tuesday when the Bundestag
votes on the package. It would be very (euro) negative if it
fails to pass," said Paul Mackel, global head of FX research at
HSBC.
In China, data on Monday showed retail sales growth
quickened in January-February, while a series of new policy
measure from Chinese authorities to boost domestic consumption
had little impact on local stocks or the yuan itself, which was
steady in the offshore market at 7.2409.
Chinese equities rose 0.2%, while South Korean
and Japanese stocks gained 1.7% and 0.93%,
respectively.
U.S. DRUBBING
While Asia stocks started the week on a strong note, over in
the United States, futures pointed to a downbeat start on Wall
Street.
Stocks officially entered correction territory last week,
battered by tumbling consumer confidence and general pessimism
over the economy, as Trump's erratic approach to trade policy
has dented sentiment.
European and Chinese equities in particular have been major
beneficiaries of U.S. market weakness, as investors move from
believing in "TINA" - There is No Alternative to U.S. assets -
to "TIARA" - There Is A Real Alternative - according to Andy
Wong, a senior Hong Kong-based executive at Pictet Asset
Management.
Nasdaq futures were down 0.71%, while S&P 500 futures
fell 0.63%.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview
that aired on Sunday there are "no guarantees" there will not be
a U.S. recession, adding to investor worries of an impending
economic downturn.
"I still find it tough to advocate for anything other than
selling rallies at this moment in time, and remain bearish in
the short-term," Pepperstone strategist Michael Brown said.
"There is scant sign of the current degree of policy
uncertainty lifting any time soon," he said.
Against a basket of currencies, the dollar held near a
five-month low at 103.72, bringing losses this year to
over 4%, as investors have slashed their bullish bets.
The yen weakened a touch to 148.85 per dollar,
ahead of the BOJ's meeting this week where it is expected to
keep rates on hold, though most economists expect further policy
tightening later this year.
Elsewhere, gold held just below $3,000 an ounce,
having broken through that point for the first time on Friday.