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Trump tariff threats on Mexico, Canada hammer currencies
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Investors skittish over further policy rollouts
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U.S. futures gain, European stocks tick higher
(Updates with morning European trading)
By Rae Wee and Harry Robertson
SINGAPORE/LONDON, Jan 21 (Reuters) - The dollar
rebounded sharply on Tuesday after plunging hours earlier as
Donald Trump's first day back in the U.S. presidency brought
mixed messaging on tariffs and highlighted investors'
sensitivity to headlines about trade policy.
U.S. stock futures rose after bouncing around on Monday as
traders digested Trump's statements on economic policy and trade
levies, while European equities eked out small gains.
The Mexican peso and Canadian dollar tumbled on Monday night
- reversing sharp gains from earlier in the day - after Trump
said he was mulling imposing 25% tariffs on the neighbouring
countries as soon as Feb. 1.
That sent the Mexican peso sliding 1.3% against the U.S.
dollar while the Canadian dollar tumbled to a five-year low of
$0.689 .
Around 11 hours earlier the U.S. dollar had plunged against
its peers after a presidential memo, first reported by the Wall
Street Journal, said the administration would probe trade issues
but stop short of day-one tariffs.
The dollar index, which measures the currency against
six peers, was last up 0.64% at 108.69 on Tuesday, although
failed to make back the 1.2% it lost on Monday in its biggest
daily fall since November 2023.
"The first few hours of the Trump administration have
underscored that the policy environment will be dynamic once
again and markets should brace for volatility," said Charu
Chanana, Saxo's chief investment strategist.
"Clearly, the markets celebrated too soon with tariff
threats missing at the outset in Trump's inaugural speech."
The euro was last down 0.62% at $1.2248, after
rallying 1.4% on Monday amid the relief about a delay in
tariffs. Sterling was 0.67% lower after jumping 1.3%
the previous day.
Trump also said he wanted to reverse the U.S. trade deficit
with the European Union, either with tariffs or more energy
exports.
Europe's continent-wide STOXX 600 index was 0.16%
higher but Germany's DAX was down 0.1%.
U.S. stock futures rallied after struggling in early
trading, leaving Nasdaq futures 0.56% higher and S&P 500
futures up 0.49%.
European carmakers slipped around 0.4% on Tuesday
after Trump revoked a 2021 executive order signed by his
predecessor that sought to ensure half of all new vehicles sold
in the United States by 2030 were electric.
TRUMP TEMPEST
The dollar has risen around 5% since Trump won the Nov. 5
election, partly because the U.S. economy has remained strong
and partly as investors have braced for wide-ranging tariffs
that would likely hurt America's trading partners.
Many investors had expected early action on tariffs, hence
the big moves sparked by the memo indicating no immediate
action.
U.S. Treasury yields were down 4 basis points on
Tuesday at 4.57%, after reopening for trading after a public
holiday.
The yields, which set the tone for borrowing costs around
the world, are nonetheless up almost a percentage point since
the Federal Reserve slashed rates by 50 bps in September,
reflecting an economy that has continued to grow strongly.
Chinese stocks were volatile but ended higher as Trump
largely steered clear of definitive threats against the
country's exports, with the CSI 300 index up 0.1%.
Trump warned he could impose tariffs on China if Beijing
failed to approve a U.S. deal to be a half-owner of short-video
app TikTok.
"At some point, we are quite certain that Trump will start
to move on the tariff measures," Khoon Goh, head of Asia
research at ANZ, said of tariffs more broadly.
"The fact that he hasn't addressed this on day one doesn't
mean that it is off the agenda. It is definitely firmly on the
agenda, it's just that we have to wait and see what shape or
form he takes."
Elsewhere, Trump's new crypto token gave up some of its
strong gains on Tuesday to fall 20% to $35.27, after having
soared to more than $10 billion in market value at the start of
the week.