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50-bp Fed cut back on table after FT, WSJ reports
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Odds on super-sized reduction ramp up to 41% from 28%
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Dollar slides back towards 2024 low versus yen
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Crude continues climb as Francine impact assessed
(Updates prices as of 0155 GMT)
By Kevin Buckland
TOKYO, Sept 13 (Reuters) - The dollar on Friday slumped
against the yen while gold hit an all-time peak as investors
ratcheted up bets for a super-sized Federal Reserve interest
rate cut next week after media reports suggested the decision
was a tough one for officials.
Shares in Asia also advanced after traders raised bets back
to 41% for a 50-basis point U.S. rate cut on Sept. 18, according
to LSEG data at 0155 GMT, from about 28% before articles in the
Financial Times and Wall Street Journal each called the decision
"a close call".
"This is yet another twist in the (Fed rate cut) debate,"
said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG, noting the tug-of-war
being played out in bond futures and the dollar-yen rate in
particular.
"Everybody thought we were back on track for 25 basis
points, and now 50 is suddenly back on the table."
The dollar dropped 0.41% to 141.225 yen, heading
back towards Wednesday's low at 140.71, the weakest level this
year.
The yen has also been supported this week by hawkish
comments from Bank of Japan officals, with policy board member
Naoki Tamura on Thursday saying he was "worried that upside
inflation risk was heightening."
The dollar index, which measures the currency against
the yen and five other major rivals, dropped to a one-week
trough at 101.03.
The euro added 0.09% to $1.1084, building on
Thursday's 0.57% advance after European Central Bank President
Christine Lagarde pushed back on prospects of a rate cut in
October, following a widely expected quarter-point reduction on
Thursday.
Gold extended Thursday's 1.9% climb to reach a fresh
record high of $2,567.93, buoyed by the dollar's weakness.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
rallied 0.53%.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng led advances in regional
markets, gaining 1.13%. Mainland Chinese blue chips
added 0.24%. Australia's benchmark climbed 0.31%. South
Korea's Kospi was flat.
Japanese stocks underperformed, though, dragged lower by the
stronger yen, with the Nikkei losing 0.48%.
Japan, mainland China and South Korea are all heading into
long weekends, with Tokyo back on Tuesday, China on Wednesday
and South Korea not until Thursday.
U.S. stock futures were flat following gains on
Thursday for the cash indexes.
Crude oil continued to climb after surging around 2%
overnight, as producers assessed the impact on output after
Hurricane Francine tore through the Gulf of Mexico.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 0.54%
to $69.34 per barrel, building on Thursday's 2.5% rally. Brent
crude futures added 0.47% to $72.31, after a 1.9% jump
in the previous session.