SYDNEY, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Asian shares stuttered on
Friday while the dollar rebounded from one-year lows as
investors were cautious ahead of a speech by the world's most
powerful central banker with markets looking for confirmation
U.S. rate cuts would start in September.
The Japanese yen gained 0.3% to 145.77 per dollar
while bond yields edged up as Bank of Japan Kazuo Ueda
spoke before lawmakers.
Traders see very little chance that the BOJ could hike
rates in October after the recent sell-off, but Ueda stuck to
the script by saying the central bank stood ready to raise rates
if the economy and prices move in line with its forecast.
Data out early in the day showed Japan's core inflation
accelerated for a third straight month, but a slowdown in
demand-drive price gains suggest no urgency for any immediate
rate hikes.
Krishna Bhimavarapu, APAC economist at State Street Global
Advisors, expects the stronger yen and reintroduction of energy
subsidies to slow inflation in the near-term.
"If the data evolves as we expect, it could mean that the
next BOJ hike may not come until December as fears of rapid
inflation ease to an extent."
On Friday, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan fell 0.4% but were headed for a
weekly gain of 0.6%. The Nikkei was flat near three-week
highs.
China's blue chips gained 0.3%, although Hong
Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.4% while South Korea
dropped 0.5%.
Overnight, Wall Street fell as sentiment turned cautious
ahead of the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech in
Jackson Hole. Three Fed speakers on Thursday alluded to a rate
cut in September, with them voicing support for a "slow and
methodical" approach.
Taken together with surveys showing the U.S. economy
still growing at a healthy pace, markets slightly pared back the
chance of an outsized half-point cut in September to 24%, from
38% a day earlier. A quarter-point reduction is fully priced in.
Robert Carnell, regional head of research, Asia-Pacific, at
ING, noted there was still scope for Powell's speech to excite
or disappoint markets given the market pricing, but much will
depend on data.
"As any decision that deviates from market pricing will rest
on as yet unknown data, it is hard to see how Powell can commit
to much beyond some easing of some sort in September, and even
then, only barring data accidents," said Carnell.
Treasury yields slipped a little on Friday, having
gained overnight for the first time in five sessions. Ten-year
yields fell 2 basis points to 3.8426% in Asia and
were down 5 bps for the week.
Two-year yields also dropped 3 bps to 3.9845% and
were down 8 bps for the week.
Declining yields pressured the dollar to one-year
lows, although it did get some respite from selling pressure
overnight. The euro came off its one-year high at
$1.1119, with major resistance seen at $1.1139.
Wall Street futures rose between 0.2%-0.4%
and commodities looked set to end the week lower.
Brent crude futures were flat at $76.04 a barrel,
although they are down more than 3% for the week as swelling
U.S. crude stocks and a weakening demand outlook in China have
raised pessimism.
Gold prices are 0.7% lower in the week to $2,488.13
an ounce, having hit a record high of $2,531.6 just on Tuesday.