(Updates prices as of 0530 GMT)
By Stella Qiu
SYDNEY, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Asian shares sputtered on
Friday while the dollar rebounded from one-year lows as
investors were cautious ahead of a speech by the world's most
powerful central banker with markets looking for confirmation
U.S. rate cuts would start in September.
The Japanese yen gained 0.4% to 145.63 per dollar
after Bank of Japan Kazuo Ueda flagged an willingness
to raise interest rates if the economy and inflation turn out as
forecast.
The Nikkei sold off but turned 0.4% higher in the
afternoon to hit a fresh three-week high as investors decided
Ueda was not as hawkish as feared. Domestic yields rose 3 basis
points in modest reactions.
Europe is set for a subdued open with EUROSTOXX 50
futures flat and FTSE futures up 0.4%. S&P
futures and Nasdaq futures rose 0.3% and 0.6%
respectively.
Data out early in the day showed Japan's core inflation
accelerated for a third straight month, but a slowdown in
demand-drive price gains suggest no urgency for any immediate
rate hikes.
Krishna Bhimavarapu, APAC economist at State Street Global
Advisors, expects the stronger yen and reintroduction of energy
subsidies to slow inflation in the near-term.
"If the data evolves as we expect, it could mean that the
next BOJ hike may not come until December as fears of rapid
inflation ease to an extent."
Traders see very little chance that the BOJ could hike rates
in October after the recent sell-off, but a move in December is
priced at 70%.
Guided by higher Wall Street futures, MSCI's broadest index
of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan trimmed
earlier losses to be just down 0.1%. It was headed for a weekly
gain of 1%.
China's blue chips gained 0.3%, although Hong
Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.3% while South Korea
edged up 0.1%.
Overnight, Wall Street fell as sentiment turned cautious
ahead of the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech in
Jackson Hole. Three Fed speakers on Thursday alluded to a rate
cut in September, with them voicing support for a "slow and
methodical" approach.
Taken together with surveys showing the U.S. economy
still growing at a healthy pace, markets slightly pared back the
chance of an outsized half-point cut in September to 24%, from
38% a day earlier. A quarter-point reduction is fully priced in.
Robert Carnell, regional head of research, Asia-Pacific, at
ING, noted there was still scope for Powell's speech to excite
or disappoint markets given the market pricing, but much will
depend on data.
"As any decision that deviates from market pricing will rest
on as yet unknown data, it is hard to see how Powell can commit
to much beyond some easing of some sort in September, and even
then, only barring data accidents," said Carnell.
Treasury yields slipped a little on Friday, having
gained overnight for the first time in five sessions. Ten-year
yields fell 2 basis points to 3.8445% in Asia while
two-year yields also dropped 2 bps to 3.9934%.
Declining yields pressured the dollar to one-year
lows, although it did get some respite from selling pressure
overnight. The euro came off its one-year high to
$1.1126, with major resistance seen at $1.1139.
Commodities looked set to end the week lower.
Brent crude futures were almost flat at $77.28 a
barrel, although they are down more than 3% for the week as
swelling U.S. crude stocks and a weakening demand outlook in
China have raised pessimism.
Gold prices are up 0.4% to $2,494.84 an ounce,
recharging towards its record high of $2,531.6 hit just on
Tuesday.