SYDNEY, April 17 (Reuters) - Asian shares were mixed on
Wednesday as the world's most powerful central banker had a
change of heart on U.S. rate cuts this year, pushing Treasury
yields to new five-month highs and the dollar towering against
other currencies.
The beleaguered yen is plumbing fresh 34-year lows
on an almost daily basis. It was last steady at 154.62 per
dollar as the risk of government intervention loomed, although
so far there has been no action from Tokyo apart from verbal
warnings.
The New Zealand dollar gained 0.4% to $0.5902 after
first-quarter inflation data showed domestically driven
inflation was surprisingly strong. Markets now see just 34 basis
points in total easing this year, down from 60 bps a week ago.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
rose 0.2%, after plunging more than 4% in the
past three sessions. Taiwanese shares outperformed with
a gain of 1%, while other markets were lacklustre.
Japan's Nikkei, however, dropped 0.7% to the lowest
in two months. China's blue chips fell 0.1%, while
Hong Kong's Hang Seng index edged 0.1% higher.
Wall Street stocks ended slightly lower on Tuesday, helped a
little by still-robust corporate earnings. Two-year Treasury
yields retested 5% overnight and were last at
4.9828%, while 10-years held near a five-month high
at 4.6674% on diminishing expectations of Federal Reserve policy
easing this year.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said recent inflation data, with
three months of upside surprises, had not given policymakers
enough confidence to ease policy soon. He noted the central bank
may need to keep rates higher for longer than previously
thought.
Markets have already slashed the amount of easing expected
this year to fewer than two rate cuts, a sea change from about
six cuts predicted at the beginning of the year. The first rate
cut is still expected in September, although the market's
confidence in that has declined.
"Now Chair Powell has caved. Surprising in fact that we've
not had a bigger reaction. But we think that's coming, or at
least part of a process that will ultimately see the 10yr back
in the 5% area," said Benjamin Schroeder, a senior rates
strategist at ING, referring to U.S. Treasuries.
"Given what we have seen so far from the inflation data, the
market would be excused had it decided to downsize the discount
for a September cut in a more dramatic fashion."
The International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday the global
economy is set for another year of slow but steady growth, with
U.S. strength pushing world output through headwinds from
lingering high inflation, weak demand in China and Europe and
spillovers from two regional wars.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are still running
high. Israel vowed to respond to Iran's weekend attack despite
international calls for restraint, although its war cabinet put
off a meeting to decide on its response until Wednesday.
In currencies, the dollar index measuring the
greenback against its major peers was buoyant near a 5-1/2-month
high at 106.3.
Asian bonds extended the sell-off in Treasuries. The 10-year
Australian government bond yield rose 6 basis points
to 4.387%, the highest this year.
The global shift in interest rate expectation has seen
markets pushing out the chances of any cut from the Reserve Bank
of Australia this year. They only see a 50/50 probability of a
first cut in December, meaning even one cut is not guaranteed.
In commodities, oil prices slipped on Wednesday as demand
concerns outweighed heightened tension in the Middle East. Brent
futures fell 0.4% to $89.68 a barrel, while U.S. crude
dropped 0.5% to $84.95 a barrel.
Gold prices held at $2,384.29 per ounce, not too
far from a record high of $2,431.29.