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Bitcoin hovers near record highs
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Dollar steady as traders eye Fed dot plot
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Yen on the defensive as BOJ seen to hold rates
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Gold set for best year since 2010
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, Dec 17 (Reuters) - Asian stocks edged higher
and the dollar held firm on Tuesday as traders braced for a
slate of central banks meetings this week that is likely to see
the U.S. Federal Reserve deliver a rate cut and the Bank of
Japan stand pat for now.
Bitcoin, the best-known and the biggest
cryptocurrency, remained nestled near the record high of
$107,821 it touched on Monday. It was last flat at $106,041.
The crypto market has been on a tear since the U.S. election
in early November as traders wager the incoming Trump
administration will usher in a friendlier regulatory
environment. Bitcoin is up 150% in 2024.
In stock markets, Australian market was 0.75%
higher, with Japan's Nikkei up 0.26% and tech-heavy
Taiwan stocks rising 0.5%.
That left MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan up 0.18%. The index is set for 10%
gain for the year, its strongest yearly performance since 2020.
Data on Monday showed China's consumption slowed more than
expected in November, pushing stocks lower. On Tuesday, Hong
Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 0.4%, while mainland stocks
eased 0.13% in early trading.
Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG, said the dire housing
numbers provide further evidence that Beijing's attempts to halt
the downturn in the property sector have yet to stabilise.
"More stimulus measures are desperately needed," said Tony
Sycamore, market analyst at IG, noting that the housing market
remains fragile despite recent policy support.
"However, those measures are unlikely to come until after
the details of US tariffs on China are revealed early next
year," Sycamore said.
Central banks in the United States, Japan, UK, Sweden,
Norway, Indonesia and Thailand all meet this week, with the BOJ,
the Bank of England, Norges Bank and Bank of Thailand expected
to stand pat, while the Riksbank is seen cutting rates.
Bank Indonesia on the other hand is expected to hike
interest rates to support the rupiah, which is rooted
near its lowest in four months.
The spotlight will be on the Fed and especially on the
projection for next year with markets pencilling in a 25-basis-
point cut on Wednesday.
After the cut on Wednesday, markets see about a 37% chance
there will be either one 25 bp cut or none at all through the
whole of 2025, according to the CME FedWatch tool, up from about
21% a week earlier.
Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo, siad
the market will be watching for any signs of a "hawkish cut."
"This means that while the Fed is easing policy, it could
signal caution about the pace of future cuts, either through the
committee's updated dot plot or via Chair Powell's press
conference."
The previous dot plot indicated four rate cuts (100 bps) for
2025, but this could be revised to just three or even two cuts
as inflation risks remain elevated, Chanana said.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six rivals, was steady at 106.77 and on course for 5%
gain for the year.
The yen last fetched 154.085 per dollar and
remained on the defensive on slim chances of a hike from the BOJ
this week, with a majority of economists polled by Reuters
expecting the central bank to hold interest rates.
In other currencies, the euro stood at $1.05207,
on course for a near 5% drop in 2024. Sterling was
steady at $1.2689.
In commodities, oil prices were little changed as investors
fretted about Chinese demand ahead of the Fed meeting.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 0.23% at
$70.55 a barrel, while Brent crude futures fell 0.15% to
$73.82 a barrel.
Spot gold inched higher to $2,656.71 per ounce, on
course for 29% rise in 2024, its strongest year since 2010.