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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares subdued as inflation, politics loom large
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares subdued as inflation, politics loom large
Jun 23, 2024 5:58 PM

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Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

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Nikkei slips, Wall St futures up a fraction

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Fed's favoured inflation index looms large this week

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US Presidential debate, French elections on horizon

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, June 24 (Reuters) - Asia shares were subdued on

Monday in a countdown for U.S. price data that investors hope

will show a renewed moderation in inflation, while markets were

on alert for possible Japanese intervention as the dollar tested

the 160 yen barrier.

Geopolitics also loomed large, with the first U.S.

presidential debate on Thursday and the first round of voting in

the French election at the weekend.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

dipped 0.1%, after touching a two-year top last

week. South Korean stocks fell 0.5%.

S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were both

up around 0.1%. Shares in Boeing ( BA ) could face pressure

after Reuters reported U.S. prosecutors are recommending

criminal charges be brought against the aircraft maker.

Japan's Nikkei eased 0.1%, with the continued

decline in the yen putting pressure on the Bank of Japan to

tighten policy despite patchy domestic data.

Minutes of the central bank's last policy meeting out on

Monday showed there was much discussion about tapering its bond

buying and raising rates.

Japan's top currency official was out early to voice

disapproval with the yen's latest drop which saw the dollar

reach 159.87 on Friday.

The dollar was trading just a shade softer at 159.73, eyeing

the 160.17 level where Japan was thought to have spent around

$60 billion buying the yen back in late April and early May.

Demand for carry trades, borrowing yen at low rates to buy

higher yielding currencies, has also seen both the Australian

and New Zealand dollars reach 17-year peaks on the yen.

Even the euro was testing recent highs at 170.87 yen

, despite being saddled with a round of soft

manufacturing surveys (PMI) which left it stuck at $1.0688

.

"The decline in the Euro area flash June PMI raises some

concern that the nascent rebound is being cut short," wrote

analysts at JPMorgan in a note.

"The abruptness of the drop is notable against the backdrop

of the French election, which was mentioned explicitly by firms

as a reason for the drag."

France's far right National Rally (RN) party and its allies

were leading the first round of the country's elections with

35.5% of the vote, according to a poll published on Sunday.

Manufacturing surveys from the United States, in contrast,

showed activity at a 26-month high in June, though price

pressures still subsided considerably.

The latter shift whetted appetites for the personal

consumption expenditures (PCE) price index due on Friday. Annual

growth in the Federal Reserve's favoured core index is expected

to slow to 2.6% in May, the lowest in more than three years.

Such a result would likely reinforce market bets on a Fed

rate cut as early as September, which futures currently price as

a 65% prospect.

There are at least five Fed speakers on the docket this

week, including San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Fed

Governors Lisa Cook and Michelle Bowman.

In commodity markets, gold felt the burden of a firm dollar

and dipped to $2,317 an ounce.

Oil prices also eased a touch after rising around 3% last

week.

Brent slipped 40 cents to $84.84 a barrel, while

U.S. crude lost 39 cents to $80.34 per barrel.

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