(Updates at 1425 GMT)
By Stefano Rebaudo
June 21 (Reuters) - German government bond yields fell
on Friday after economic survey data for the euro zone came in
weaker than expected, supporting expectations for policy rate
cuts.
Euro zone yields bounced around in the afternoon session in
Europe, as traders digested U.S. data showing a pick-up in
business activity and remained nervous about political
uncertainty in France.
Euro area business growth decelerated sharply this month as
demand fell for the first time since February, survey-based data
showed on Friday.
Weak demand dragged down France's business activity as the
country heads into a snap parliamentary election, while an
upturn in Germany slowed in June.
German 10-year bond yields, the benchmark for
the euro area, fell 3 basis points to 2.399%.
French 10-year yields, fell in morning trading
before reversing course later in the day to trade roughly flat
at 3.156%.
The gap between French and German 10-year yields
- a gauge of risk premium investors demand to hold
French government bonds - widened 3 bps to 75 bps, having gapped
to around 80 bps last Friday, its widest level since February
2017.
Surveys "suggest a solid recovery in the euro zone economy
is not a done deal", said Franziska Palmas, senior European
economist at Capital Economics.
"Meanwhile, aggregate price pressures continued to ease but
remained strong in the services sector, which will keep ECB
policymakers cautious," she added.
Money markets price in around 70 bps of cumulative European
Central Bank rate cuts by year-end from 65
bps before PMI data, implying a further move and a 70% chance of
a third cut in 2024.
Bund yields were on track for a 4-bp weekly rise, as hopes
that France's far right National Rally (RN) party will backtrack
on fiscally expensive pledges stopped last week's rush into
safe-haven assets.
"OATs (French government bonds) look priced for a hung
parliament/RN-lead with a benign fiscal outcome but might widen
sharply to 100 bps over Bunds on a more forceful far-right/left
manifesto implementation, while tightening to 60 bps on a
centrist coalition," Citi analysts said.
RN is seen leading the first round of the country's
parliamentary elections with 35% of the votes, according to a
survey released on Thursday. President Emmanuel Macron's
centrist camp was in third place with 20% of the votes.
Market sentiment towards France and the euro area's most
indebted countries improved on Thursday as the market got
through a French bond auction largely unscathed.
There were also hopes of monetary easing ahead after the
Swiss National Bank marginally surprised markets by cutting
rates, and the Bank of England delivered a dovish message,
analysts said.
Italy's 10-year yield was down 1 bp at 3.931%,
while the Italian-German yield gap stood slightly wider
at 153 bps.
(Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo, additional reporting by Harry
Robertson, editing by Alex Richardson and Emelia
Sithole-Matarise)