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FOREX-Yen, Swiss franc rise on safety bids as Trump tariff fallout grips markets
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FOREX-Yen, Swiss franc rise on safety bids as Trump tariff fallout grips markets
Apr 6, 2025 10:41 PM

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Investors scoop up the yen and Swiss franc

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Aussie hits five-year low, cryptocurrencies slide

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Markets leaning toward Fed cut in May

(Updates to Asia afternoon)

By Rae Wee

SINGAPORE, April 7 (Reuters) - Investors poured into

safe havens like the yen and Swiss franc on Monday and heavily

sold the risk-sensitive Australian dollar as the market rout

from U.S. President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs deepened and

fears of a global recession grew.s

Global markets were sent into a tailspin on Monday as Asian

stocks and Wall Street futures plunged and investors wagered

that the mounting risk of a deep economic downturn could lead to

a cut in U.S. interest rates as early as May.

The dollar fell 0.63% against the yen to 145.92,

after tumbling more than 1% earlier in the session, as the

greenback extended its 2% slide against the Japanese currency

from last week.

"The big theme has been selling USD/JPY because it's a good

U.S. recession proxy and it's a good U.S. yields proxy and U.S.

yields tanked," said Brent Donnelly, president of market maker

and analytics firm Spectra Markets.

The Swiss franc jumped more than 0.8% to 0.8531

per dollar, building on its 2.3% surge against the U.S. currency

last week.

Both the yen and the franc have emerged as significant

winners in the aftermath of Trump's latest tariff salvo as

investors dump riskier assets and flock to safe havens in a move

that has also seen gold and government bonds catch a bid.

Meanwhile, the Aussie, often used as a proxy for

risk appetite, tumbled to a five-year low early in the session,

and was last trading 0.5% lower at $0.6014.

The New Zealand dollar eased 0.43% to $0.5572,

having slid more than 1% earlier in the session.

"Things have gone from bad to worse," said Tony Sycamore, a

market analyst at IG.

"If there isn't some sort of walking back of the

announcements, then we're heading for a liquidity event and

liquidity will get sucked out of these markets big time across

all asset classes."

Trump's tariff announcements wiped out nearly $6 trillion in

value from U.S. stocks last week. When asked about the impact,

Trump on Sunday said that sometimes medicine was needed to fix

things, adding that he was not intentionally engineering a

market selloff.

TRADERS HOPE FOR RAPID U.S. RATE CUTS

More than 50 nations have reached out to the White House to

begin trade talks. China, which has struck back with a slew of

countermeasures including extra levies of 34% on all U.S. goods,

said on Saturday "the market has spoken".

While the dollar is also typically known to be a safe haven

asset, that status seems to be eroding as uncertainty over

tariffs and concern over their impact on U.S. growth intensify.

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was last

at 102.64, having tumbled 1% last week.

The euro was up 0.18% at $1.0985, while sterling

eased 0.1% to $1.28925.

"Given the U.S. is at the epicentre of the trade war, the

USD has been suffering from outflows" with investors "looking

... to diversify away from U.S. assets," said Rodrigo Catril,

senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank.

Traders have ramped up bets of more Federal Reserve rate

cuts this year on the view policymakers would have to ease more

aggressively to shore up growth in the world's largest economy.

Markets swung to imply an around 55% chance of a Fed cut in

May, and futures now point to more than 100 basis points worth

of rate cuts by December this year. Investors were

previously expecting the Fed to keep rates on hold next month.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell cautioned on Friday it was still too

soon to know what the right response from the central bank ought

to be.

In Asia, the onshore yuan fell to a 2-1/2-month

low of 7.3192 per dollar.

The pace of the yuan's decline was somewhat tempered by the

central bank's support, as it continued to set the daily

official midpoint at a level firmer than market projections.

The offshore yuan eased more than 0.3% to 7.3205

per dollar.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell to a five-month low

of $76,638.54 as risk sentiment soured. Ether similarly

sank to a six-month trough of $1,526.19.

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