TOKYO, April 30 (Reuters) - The yen held its line
against the dollar on Tuesday after making sharp gains the
previous day in moves that traders said were sparked by
suspected intervention by Japanese authorities.
The Japanese currency was trading a touch lower
0.16% at 156.56 per dollar, but was well off its 34-year low of
160.245 hit on Monday when traders say yen-buying intervention
by Tokyo drove a sizeable rebound of nearly six yen.
Japanese authorities haven't confirmed that they had stepped
into the currency market in support of the yen, but markets
remain on heightened intervention alert ahead of the Federal
Reserve's monetary policy review this week.
Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda said on Tuesday
that authorities were ready to deal with foreign exchange
matters "24 hours", but declined again to comment on whether the
finance ministry had intervened.
"There is clearly a possibility that the sharp and sudden
lifts in the JPY were sparked by intervention. But the reality
is no one knows for sure if the MOF did step into the FX markets
yesterday," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at the
Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
Trading in Asia was thinner than normal on Monday due to
Japan's Golden Week holiday as the yen saw its biggest one-day
gain this year on the dollar. Official figures that would reveal
whether intervention did in fact occur won't be available until
late May.
Markets in Japan will be closed again on Friday for the
holiday.
The Japanese currency still sits lower than it was before
the Bank of Japan's policy announcement last week.
That could bode ill for the yen as the Fed begins its
two-day monetary policy meeting on Tuesday, where it's expected
to holds rates at 5.25%-5.5%, with U.S. inflation proving to be
sticky.
The Fed is expected to strike a hawkish message, meaning
more yen selling is likely, CBA's Kong said.
"The implication is the MOF will likely be forced to step in
more than once to slow the rise in USD/JPY."
The BOJ's go-slow approach on interest rate increases,
following its landmark decision to ditch negative rates in
March, has traders betting that Japanese bond yields will remain
low for an extended period. In contrast, U.S. rates are still
relatively high and provide enough latitude for yen bears.
A fragile economic recovery is also likely to constrain
BOJ's options as any over-tightening in policy could tip Japan
into recession.
Data showed Japan's factory output rose at a better than
expected 3.8% pace in March from the previous month, though
retail sales for the same month undershot market forecasts.
The dollar consolidated around 105.73 against a basket of
currencies ahead of the Fed's meeting, after slipping
0.25% in the previous session.
Traders have continued to pare back bets of Fed rate cuts
this year amid the hotter-than-expected U.S. economic data and
stubborn inflation numbers.
A rate cut in September was looking like a close call at
just 44%, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
However, other major central banks such as the European
Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England may begin to cut
rates in the near future.
Markets could glean more clues on the timing of ECB's
rate-easing cycle from European inflation data this week due
later on Tuesday.
The euro was down 0.05% at $1.0714. Sterling
was last trading at $1.2558, little changed on the day.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin last rose 1.74% to
$64,039.00.