(Updates at 1150 GMT)
By Kevin Buckland and Alun John
TOKYO/LONDON, Aug 22 (Reuters) - Business activity data
helped lift the pound to a new 13-month high against the dollar
on Thursday and kept the euro just shy of a similar peak, with
the equivalent U.S. numbers and jobless claims figures to come
later in the day.
Sterling rose 0.21% to $1.3129, its highest since
July 2023. Should it squeeze past the $1.3143 hit then, the
British currency would be at its highest since April 2022.
The euro was down 0.1% at $1.1137, on slightly
softer euro zone data and slowing wage growth, but still near
the $1.11735 reached on Wednesday, its firmest since July 2023.
Both currencies have been supported in recent weeks by
weakness in the dollar as a dovish Federal Reserve and fresh
signs of weakness in the U.S. jobs market back the case for
interest rate cuts.
Markets are now pricing in more rate cuts from the Federal
Reserve by year-end than for the European Central Bank or Bank
of England.
But it was developments in Europe that were to the fore on
Thursday, with Britain's composite purchasing managers index
(PMI) rising to 53.4 in August, the highest reading since April
and above expectations.
Readings above 50 denote growth. The euro zone composite
figure rose to 51.2, also above expectations, though analysts
said the number was flattered by a rise in French services
activity due to the Olympics.
Data also showed that euro zone negotiated wage growth
slowed sharply last quarter, which Bert Colijn, ING's senior
economist for the euro zone, said would pave the way for an ECB
rate cut in September.
"The European Central Bank has remained uncomfortable with
cutting interest rates while wage growth is elevated. Today's
drop will bring some relief for those looking for a gradual
cutting cycle," Colijn said in a note.
He also said the PMI data would give hawks little reason to
object to a September cut.
FED FOCUS
The dollar was 0.55% firmer against the yen at 146.1, with
the rate sensitive currency pair supported by a move
higher in U.S. Treasury yields.
That left the dollar index, which measures the
greenback against a basket of currencies including the euro,
sterling and yen, up 0.2% at 101.34.
The index dipped to 100.92 on Wednesday for the first time
this year, softening as markets become more confident the Fed is
on track for rate cuts starting in September.
Traders now price in a 30% probability of a 50 basis point
(bp) cut at the central bank's Sept. 17-18 meeting, and are
fully pricing a 25 bp reduction, according to the CME Group's
FedWatch Tool.
But Fed policy maker Jeff Schmid, sounded a cautious tone in
Thursday remarks that did not point to a large move.
Rates are not overly restrictive and policy makers have room
to consider where to go from here, he said.
Weekly U.S. jobless claims data is due later on Thursday and
Fed Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a hotly anticipated speech
at the central bank's annual Jackson Hole symposium on Friday.
Other central bankers, including Bank of England governor
Andrew Bailey and ECB chief economist Philip Lane, will also
speak at Jackson Hole, while Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda
will testify on Friday in a special session of parliament that
will scrutinise the BOJ's decision to unexpectedly raise rates
at the end of last month.
Ueda's hawkish stance helped spur a rapid unwind of bearish
yen positions and a violent sell-off in Japanese stocks.
Elsewhere, the Swiss franc was somewhat firmer, with the
dollar down 0.16% at 0.8504 francs while the Australian dollar
was flat at $0.6745.