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Investors scoop up the yen and Swiss franc
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Aussie steadies after hitting five-year low
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Markets leaning toward Fed cut in May
(Updates prices, adds new comment, changes dateline, byline)
By Chibuike Oguh and Yadarisa Shabong
NEW YORK, April 7 (Reuters) - Investors bought into safe
havens such as the dollar, yen and Swiss franc on Monday as
concerns about a global recession heightened following U.S.
President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs on trading partners.
Global markets plunged on Monday, with Wall Street stocks
trading lower after Asian shares sank, as investors wagered the
mounting risk of a deep economic downturn could lead to a cut in
U.S. interest rates as early as May.
The risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars, as
well as the Swedish and Norwegian crowns, all dropped against
the dollar.
The dollar cut its losses against other safe-haven
currencies. It was up 0.50% against the yen to
147.605, after tumbling more than 1.4% earlier in the session.
The dollar also hit its lowest in six months against the
Swiss franc and was last down 0.06% at 0.8605 franc in choppy
trading..
"The only thing we know for sure is that it's volatile ...
But I think broadly, leaving aside nuances, because tariffs are
thought to be hurting world growth, those currencies that seem
to be more like risk-on currencies - the dollar bloc and the
Scandies - they are underperforming," said Marc Chandler, chief
market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex in New York.
"On the other hand, the currencies that are typically
safe-haven currencies - like the Swiss franc and yen - are
performing better."
The euro, which gained as much as 0.7% to $1.1050
earlier in the session, was down 0.39% at $1.091775.
"The euro has certainly performed really quite well over the
last couple of days since we've heard about the tariffs," said
Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank.
"Maybe that's related to the euro zone current account
position, or maybe it's just related to investors still moving
out of U.S. assets and still not quite sure where they should be
moving their money to."
While the dollar is typically known as a safe-haven asset,
that status seems to be eroding as uncertainty over tariffs and
concern over their impact on U.S. growth intensify.
European Union countries will seek to present a united front
in the coming days against Trump's tariffs, likely approving a
first set of targeted countermeasures on up to $28 billion of
U.S. imports ranging from dental floss to diamonds.
Sterling hit a one-month low at $1.27465 and was
last down 1.05% against the greenback.
The Aussie, often used as a proxy for risk
appetite, tumbled to a five-year low earlier in the session, but
was last down 0.51% to $0.601.
The New Zealand dollar eased 0.86% to $0.5547,
having slid more than 1% earlier in the session.
Trump's tariff announcements wiped out nearly $6 trillion in
value from U.S. stocks last week. When asked about the impact,
Trump said on Sunday that sometimes "medicine" was needed to fix
things, adding he was not intentionally engineering a market
selloff.
TRADERS HOPE FOR RAPID U.S. RATE CUTS
More than 50 nations have approached the White House to
begin trade talks. China, which has struck back with
countermeasures including extra levies of 34% on all U.S. goods,
said on Saturday "the market has spoken."
Traders have ramped up bets of more Federal Reserve rate
cuts this year on the view policymakers would have to ease more
aggressively to shore up growth in the world's largest economy.
Markets swung to imply an approximately 55% chance of a Fed
cut in May, and futures now point to more than 100 basis points
worth of rate cuts by December this year. Investors
were previously expecting the Fed to keep rates on hold next
month.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell cautioned on Friday it was still too
soon to know what the right response from the central bank ought
to be.