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US inflation data shows cooling price pressures
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Yen strengthens after Ishiba wins Japan's leadership
contest
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Dollar index hits lowest since July 2023
(Updated at 2:41 p.m. ET/1841 GMT)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Sept 27 (Reuters) - The dollar fell on Friday
after a reading of U.S. inflation signaled price pressures
continue to ebb, while the yen strengthened against the
greenback after Shigeru Ishiba, seen as an interest rate hawk,
was set to become Japan's next prime minister.
The U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index
rose 0.1% in August, matching expectations of economists polled
by Reuters, after an unrevised 0.2% gain in July. In the 12
months through August, the PCE price index increased 2.2% after
rising 2.5% in July.
In addition, consumer spending, which accounts for more than
two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, rose 0.2% last month after
an unrevised 0.5% gain in July. The data was slightly below the
0.3% estimate but indicated the economy still maintained some
momentum in the third quarter.
The Federal Reserve has recently signaled a shift in focus
away from inflation and towards keeping the labor market
healthy, but delivered a larger-than-usual interest rate cut of
50 basis points (bps) last week.
"(Fed Chair) Powell can breathe a little sigh of relief,"
said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management
in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.
"After pushing for a 50 bps cut instead of a more
conventional 25 bps cut the personal income and spending data so
far vindicates that decision."
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies, including the yen and the euro,
was down 0.17% at 100.43 after falling to 100.15, its lowest
since July 20, 2023, with the euro off 0.14% at $1.116.
The dollar is down about 0.2% for the week, on pace for its
fourth straight weekly decline and ninth in the last 10. The
euro was slightly lower for the week.
Markets are fully pricing in a cut of at least 25 basis
points at the Fed's November meeting, with expectations for
another upsized 50 basis point cut now up to 56.7% after the
data, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, from 49.9% before the
release.
The yen strengthened after Japan's Ishiba won the leadership
contest of the country's ruling Liberal Democratic Party in a
narrow victory.
Ishiba, a former defense minister, is a critic of past
monetary stimulus and told Reuters the central bank was "on the
right policy track" with rate hikes thus far.
Markets had been largely expecting a win for hardline
nationalist Sanae Takaichi, a vocal opponent of further interest
rate hikes, pricing in loose monetary and fiscal policies and a
weaker yen over the past week.
The Japanese yen was 1.88% stronger at 142.12 per
dollar after strengthening as far as 142.09, on track for its
biggest daily percentage gain since Aug. 2. For the week, the
dollar is down 1.25% against the yen., poised for its third
weekly decline in four.
The euro fell 1.95% to 158.67 against the Japanese
currency.
European data showed inflation in France and Spain rose less
than expected, boosting expectations for an October rate cut
from the European Central Bank to more than 90%.
China, meanwhile, launched another round of stimulus
measures on Friday, as the country's central bank lowered
interest rates and injected liquidity into the banking system as
it attempts to bring economic growth back towards this year's
target of about 5%.
The dollar strengthened 0.11% to 6.979 versus the
offshore Chinese yuan.
Sterling declined 0.3% to $1.3375 and is up more than
about 0.4% on the week, poised for a second straight weekly
advance.