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Safe-havens in demand as equity markets skid again
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Yen climbs, Swiss franc scales 6-month top on dollar
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Yuan slides as U.S. set to raise China tariff to 104%
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, April 9 (Reuters) - The dollar lost ground to
the safe-haven yen and Swiss franc on Wednesday as the imminent
imposition by the U.S. of 104% tariffs on China spooked world
equity markets and sent the Chinese yuan to record lows.
President Donald Trump showed no sign of backing away from
the new increase of 50% on China, which goes into effect in just
a few hours, accusing Beijing of manipulating the yuan to offset
the levies.
"If that goes ahead, you may as well kiss goodbye to any
last, lingering hopes that the U.S. economy might avoid a deep
recession," said Chris Weston, head of research at broker
Pepperstone.
"The message from the White House appears to be this - the
beatings will continue until morale improves."
The dollar has already reached an all-time top on the yuan
offshore at 7.4288, breaching the previous high at
7.3765, and all eyes are on China's central bank to see whether
it allows a further easing at its daily fix.
Worries about a U.S. downturn were pressuring the dollar
elsewhere as markets returned to pricing in more rate cuts from
the Federal Reserve.
Fed fund futures jumped in early Asian trade to
imply around 111 basis points of cuts this year, compared to 92
basis points early on Tuesday.
Fresh losses in U.S. stock futures and heavy selling in
longer-dated U.S. Treasuries sparked demand for safe haven
currencies, notably the yen and Swiss franc.
"Our top FX expression is to be long yen given U.S.
stagflation fears, exacerbated by Trump's aggressive reciprocal
tariffs and tit-for-tat escalations, and the sharp selloff in
equities," wrote analysts at Nomura in a note.
"Beyond the yen's relative safe-haven status, Japan's macro
backdrop remains relatively strong and rate differentials are
expected to continue to favour JPY."
The dollar lost 0.7% to 145.23 yen, heading back
toward the recent six-month trough of 144.55. The yen was also
up sharply on a range of high-yielding currencies as investors
unwound carry trades.
The dollar touched a fresh six-month low on the Swiss franc
at 0.8430, threatening major support at 0.8374.
The euro also edged higher, helped by reports Germany's
conservatives had reached a deal with the centre-left Social
Democrats to form a government, easing political concerns in the
EU's largest economy.
The single currency added 0.4% to $1.0996,
creeping back to last week's peak at $1.1147.