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US inflation data shows cooling price pressures
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Yen strengthens after Ishiba wins Japan's leadership
contest
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Dollar index hits lowest since July 2023
(Updated at 9:07 p.m. ET/1307 GMT)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Sept 27 (Reuters) - The dollar weakened on
Friday after a reading of U.S. inflation indicated price
pressures continue to cool, while the yen strengthened against
the greenback after former defense minister Shigeru Ishiba was
set to become Japan's next prime minister.
The U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index
rose 0.1% in August, matching expectations of economists polled
by Reuters, after an unrevised 0.2% gain in July. In the 12
months through August, the PCE price index increased 2.2% after
rising 2.5% in July.
In addition, consumer spending, which accounts for more than
two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, rose 0.2% last month after
an unrevised 0.5% gain in July. The data was slightly below the
0.3% estimate but indicated the economy still maintained some
momentum in the third quarter.
The Federal Reserve has recently signaled a shift in focus away
from inflation and towards keeping the labor market healthy, but
delivered a larger-than-usual interest rate cut of 50 basis
points (bps) last week.
"(Fed Chair) Powell can breathe a little sigh of relief," said
Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management in
Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.
"After pushing for a 50 bps cut instead of a more conventional
25 bps cut the personal income and spending data so far
vindicates that decision."
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a
basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, was down
0.39% at 100.21, after falling to 100.15, its lowest since July
20, 2023, with the euro up 0.16% at $1.1195.
The dollar is down nearly 0.6% for the week, on pace for its
fourth straight weekly decline. The euro is up more than 0.3%
and set for a second straight weekly gain.
Markets are fully pricing in a cut of at least 25 basis points
at the Fed's November meeting, with expectations for another
upsized 50 basis point cut edging up to 54.1% after the data,
according to CME's FedWatch Tool, from 49.9% before the release.
The yen strengthened after Japan's Ishiba won the leadership
contest of the country's ruling Liberal Democratic Party in a
narrow victory.
Ishiba is a critic of past monetary stimulus and told Reuters
the central bank was "on the right policy track" with rate hikes
thus far. Markets had been largely expecting a win for hardline
nationalist Sanae Takaichi, a vocal opponent of further interest
rate hikes, pricing in loose monetary and fiscal policies and a
weaker yen over the past week.
The Japanese yen was 1.43% stronger at 142.75 per dollar
after strengthening as far as 142.48, on track for its biggest
daily percentage gain since Aug. 5. For the week, the dollar is
down about 0.7% against the yen.
The euro fell 1.24% to 159.83 against the Japanese currency.
The euro was also down 0.13% at $1.1163 after data
showed inflation in France and Spain rose less than expected,
prompting traders to ramp up their bets on an October rate cut
from the European Central Bank.
China, meanwhile, launched another round of stimulus measures on
Friday, as the country's central bank lowered interest rates and
injected liquidity into the banking system as it attempts to
bring economic growth back towards this year's target of about
5%.
The dollar strengthened 0.16% to 6.982 versus the
offshore Chinese yuan.
Sterling strengthened 0.04% to $1.3421 and is up more
than 0.7% on the week, poised for a second straight weekly
advance.