(Updates with Bank of England decision; refreshes prices at 1233
GMT)
*
Sterling rallies after BoE cuts rates, expects faster
inflation
and growth
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Euro rises despite German government collapse, political
crisis
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Yen hits three-month low, Japan signals readiness to act
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Nov 7 (Reuters) - The dollar held near
four-month highs on Thursday, having scored its biggest one-day
rally in two years following Donald Trump's win in the U.S.
presidential election, and as investors prepped for the Federal
Reserve's upcoming rate decision.
Sterling rallied after the Bank of England cut interest rates
but said it expected UK inflation and growth to pick up more
quickly than it had previously anticipated.
Front and centre, however, was the dollar, which rose by as
much as 2% at one point against a basket of currencies on
Wednesday, as investors piled into U.S. assets that they
expect would benefit from Trump's proposed policies on tariffs
and taxes.
Trump's win is unlikely to make any immediate difference to
the Fed, which is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis
points later in the day. So investors will start to look to who
Trump's key appointees might be, as well as whether or not his
Republican party wins both chambers of Congress in a "Red
sweep", which could dictate how easily he may enact some of his
proposals.
"If there is, then we will probably, in the market
collectively, conclude he will get more of his fiscal agenda
through. And that could be dollar-supportive," Rabobank currency
strategist Jane Foley said.
"There is going to be a lot of back and forth to try and
work out exactly what is the inflation impact of this going to
be, and therefore, how is the Fed going to react? But, generally
speaking, I think all of that is certainly dollar-positive
through 2025," she said.
More immediately, traders will want the Fed to indicate what to
expect in December and beyond, particularly after last week's
October jobs report, which was well below expectations, due in
large part to disruption from recent hurricanes and labour
strikes.
Trump's victory has also fuelled speculation the Fed might
reduce rates at a slower and shallower pace, as his policies on
restricting illegal immigration and enacting new tariffs could
boost inflation.
Markets now see about a 67% chance the Fed will also cut
rates next month, down from 77% on Tuesday, according to the CME
Group's Fed Watch Tool.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six others, was down 0.3% at 104.84 after surging to its
highest since July 3 on Wednesday, when it logged its biggest
single-day gain since September 2022, up 1.5%.
EURO SHRUGS OFF GERMAN GOVERNMENT COLLAPSE
Sterling neared session highs after the BoE cut rates
as forecast but suggested future rate cuts may only be gradual,
given the expected rise in growth and inflation stemming from
finance minister Rachel Reeves' budget last week.
The pound was last up 0.4% on the day at $1.29365.
The euro rose 0.3% to $1.0764, having tumbled as
low as $1.06828 for the first time since July 27 on Wednesday.
The single European currency shrugged off political crisis in
Germany, where the already awkward coalition led by Chancellor
Olaf Scholz collapsed late on Wednesday.
Sweden's Riksbank cut rates by half a point, as expected,
leaving the crown up 0.2% against the euro at 11.618
, while Norges Bank left Norwegian rates unchanged,
pushing the crown up 1% against the euro.
The yen hit a three-month low against the dollar of 154.715.
Japan's top currency diplomat Atsushi Mimura flagged officials'
readiness to act, marking the government's strongest warning to
speculators in recent months.
The Japanese currency was last up 0.45% at 153.92.
The yuan rose 0.5% after China's exports blew past forecasts,
having earlier touched its lowest level in nearly three months.
Offshore yuan traded at 7.1677 yuan per dollar.
Bitcoin fell 1.32% to $74,663, having hit a record
high on Wednesday of $76,499.99. Ether rallied 4.5% to
$2,811, around its highest since early August.