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Dollar index highest since November 2022
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Sterling drops 0.6% to lowest since April
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Yen pinned near five-month low
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Bets on Trump policies leading to stronger dollar remain
in
place
(Updated to New York morning time)
By Karen Brettell
New York, Jan 2 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar hit a
two-year high on Thursday in the first day of 2025 trading,
building on last year's strong gains on expectations U.S. growth
will beat peers and keep U.S. interest rates relatively
elevated.
The Federal Reserve has indicated that it will be more
cautious in cutting interest rates as inflation remains
stubbornly above its 2% annual target and the economy remains
strong.
Policies by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump are also
expected to boost growth and potentially add to upward price
pressures.
"In terms of 2025 economic growth, there's no rival to the
dollar," Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive in
Toronto, said.
"Capital flows dominate the turn of the year and the U.S.
stock market has really put to shame every other global market,"
Button added. "The dollar is the only game in town until there
is a genuine stumble in the U.S. economy."
Data on Thursday confirmed a still solid jobs market. The
number of Americans filing new applications for jobless benefits
unexpectedly fell last week, pointing to low layoffs at the end
of 2024.
The dollar index was last up 0.29% on the day at
108.85.
The euro fell as low as $1.0306, its lowest since November
2022, and was last down 0.4% on the day.
Traders anticipate deep interest rate cuts from the European
Central Bank in 2025, with markets pricing in at least four
25-basis-point cuts, while not being certain of even two such
moves from the Fed.
Sterling, which held in better than most major currencies
against the greenback last year, fell 0.98% to $1.2394, its
lowest since April. Its fall accelerated after it broke through
resistance around $1.2475.
The dollar gained 0.03% to 156.92 Japanese yen.
It reached a five-month high above 158.09 yen in late
December, potentially putting pressure on the Bank of Japan,
which is expected to raise interest rates early this year, but
possibly not immediately.
China's yuan languished at 14-month lows as worries about
the health of the world's second-biggest economy, the prospect
of U.S. import tariffs from the Trump administration and sliding
local yields weighed on investor sentiment. CNY/
The Australian and New Zealand dollars, meanwhile, rebounded
from two-year lows touched on Tuesday.
The Aussie was 0.39% higher at $0.6215. The kiwi
rose 0.25% to $0.5609.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin gained 2.05% to $96,723.