financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Euro zone bond yields tick higher as markets regain composure
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Euro zone bond yields tick higher as markets regain composure
Aug 6, 2024 8:34 AM

(Updates prices at 1505 GMT)

By Sruthi Shankar and Samuel Indyk

LONDON, Aug 6 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond

yields rose slightly on Tuesday after hitting a seven-month low

on Monday before firmer U.S. data helped ease worries about an

imminent recession.

Germany's 10-year yield was last up 1 basis

point (bp) at 2.191%, having touched 2.074% on Monday, its

lowest since Jan. 4, before recovering to end little changed on

the day. Bond yields move inversely to prices.

The recovery in yields gained steam after data showed that

the U.S. services sector rebounded from a four-year low in July,

with a measure of services employment rising for the first time

since January.

That helped ease worries of a recession after Friday's weak

U.S. labour market report sparked growth worries and had markets

betting on more aggressive central bank easing this year.

Markets had moved to price in 130 bps of rate cuts by the

Federal Reserve by year-end, but have trimmed those expectations

to around 112 bps.

It was a similar picture for the European Central Bank,

where markets had priced as much as 90 bps of additional easing

by year-end, or at least three quarter-point cuts.

That now stands at 68 bps, implying two 25 bp moves and

around a 72% chance of a third.

"The fundamental picture hasn't changed that much," said

Sophia Oertmann, government bond analyst at DZ Bank.

"We had the weak employment report and other signs the U.S.

economy is slowing down but that's not justification to suddenly

price in a peak of 130 bps of easing by the Fed this year.

That's clearly too much," Oertmann added.

Fed policymakers on Monday attempted to calm markets,

pushing back on the notion that Friday's weak payrolls report

means the economy is in recessionary freefall.

Germany's two-year yield, which is more sensitive

to changes in central bank easing expectations, was last up 4

bps at 2.371%. It hit its lowest level since March 2023 on

Monday at 2.151%.

The sharp swings in markets were a combination of heavy

positioning, unwinding of carry trades, summer illiquidity and

geopolitical concerns, according to Jefferies chief Europe

economist Mohit Kumar.

This helped amplify the shift in the market perception of

the U.S. economy, he said.

A more than 12% slide on Monday in Japan's main share index,

the Nikkei 225, was mostly reversed on Tuesday, with the

index rising over 10%.

Italy's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the

euro zone periphery, fell 2 bps to 3.653%, pushing the spread

between Italian and German 10-year yields down to

146 bps. On Monday it touched its widest level in more than five

weeks at 154 bps.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Fed View Nudges Wall Street Up Pre-Bell; Asia Mixed, Europe Up
Fed View Nudges Wall Street Up Pre-Bell; Asia Mixed, Europe Up
Sep 13, 2024
07:23 AM EDT, 09/13/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Wall Street futures pointed modestly higher pre-bell Friday, as traders mulled the probable size of the Federal Reserve's pending rate cut, expected at the conclusion of the central bank's policy session next week. In the futures, the S&P 500 rose 0.2%, the Nasdaq inclined 0.1% and the Dow Jones was up 0.2%. Yields...
Wall Street Set to Open Flat in Friday Trading; Import, Export Prices Decline More Than Expected
Wall Street Set to Open Flat in Friday Trading; Import, Export Prices Decline More Than Expected
Sep 13, 2024
09:10 AM EDT, 09/13/2024 (MT Newswires) -- US stocks look set to open relatively flat in Friday's trading session as investors parse import and export index prices, which fell more than expected, and await consumer sentiment and expectations readings set for release later in the morning. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 0.22%, S&P 500 futures gained 0.21%,...
GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar falls, gold hits record as investors mull 'coin-toss' Fed decision
GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar falls, gold hits record as investors mull 'coin-toss' Fed decision
Sep 13, 2024
* 50-bp Fed cut back on table after FT, WSJ reports * Chances of super-sized cut rise to 45% from 14% * Dollar hits lowest vs yen since Dec 28 * Gold at record, Treasuries bounce (Updates prices at 1132 GMT) By Amanda Cooper LONDON, Sept 13 (Reuters) - The dollar fell on Friday to its lowest this year against...
ECB Outlook Elevates European Bourses Midday
ECB Outlook Elevates European Bourses Midday
Sep 13, 2024
07:35 AM EDT, 09/13/2024 (MT Newswires) -- European bourses tracked moderately higher midday Friday as traders digested the Thursday rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) and commentary that further easing may be on the table. Retail and property stocks led broad gains. Investors also eyed Wall Street futures signaling green, but uneven closes overnight on Asian exchanges. In...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved