financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Euro zone bond yields tick higher ahead of economic data this week
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Euro zone bond yields tick higher ahead of economic data this week
Nov 3, 2024 1:37 PM

*

German GDP likely to contract in 2024, stagnate in 2025 -

DIHK

*

U.S. bond yields rise above 4.30% to mid-July highs

*

US interest rate options price in Republican sweep

*

U.S. job openings report due at 1400 GMT

(Updates at 1100 GMT)

By Medha Singh

Oct 29 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields rose

across the board on Tuesday, taking their cue from U.S.

Treasuries as investors awaited data on domestic inflation and

growth later in the week before U.S. elections on Nov. 5.

Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for

the euro zone, rose 3.5 basis points (bps) to 2.318%, not far

from a three-month high of 2.352% touched on Monday.

The selloff in bond markets began last week in tandem with

U.S. Treasuries, partly reflecting investors positioning ahead

of the Nov. 5 vote for the possibility of a second presidential

term for Donald Trump and a Republican sweep of the Senate and

House of Representatives.

Trump's proposed tariff, tax and immigration policies

are seen as inflationary, which would support the dollar and put

bonds under pressure, as well as slowing the pace of Federal

Reserve rate cuts.

"Polls start pricing in a possibility of a Republican

sweep, which several weeks ago seemed highly unlikely. And we

are seeing a Treasury sell-off. That is an acknowledgement of

the fact that budget deficits are expected to become a lot

higher," said Sonal Desai, chief investment officer, fixed

income at Franklin Templeton.

Analysts expect increased volatility heading into the

U.S. elections, with the

options market

bracing for the biggest post-election swings in U.S.

Treasury yields in more than 30 years.

"The increasing probability of a Republican sweep is

also impacting European rates," said Danske Bank chief analyst

Piet Haines Christiansen.

U.S. Treasury yields were at a more than three-month

high of 4.3023% as signs of a strong U.S. economy also doused

expectations of more aggressive U.S. rate cuts.

PIVOTAL DATA DUE

As well as the elections taking place in the world's

largest economy, a host of pivotal economic data will be in the

spotlight, starting with U.S. job openings later on Tuesday.

Also on investors' radar this week are a first look at

third-quarter euro zone growth numbers, inflation reports out of

Germany, France and the euro zone, and finally the crucial U.S.

jobs report on Friday.

The German Chamber of Commerce and Industry (DIHK) on

Tuesday forecast that Europe's largest economy would contract by

0.2% this year and would see zero growth next year.

The report adds to a string of data that indicates

deterioration in the euro zone economy. That, coupled with

comments from some European Central Bank policymakers

highlighting concerns about inflation undershooting the central

bank's 2% target, has fuelled bets of steeper rate cuts.

The ECB is widely expected to lower rates by at least 25 bps

at its next policy meeting in December, with traders placing a

34% chance of a larger cut.

Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more

sensitive to ECB rate expectations, firmed by 2 bps to 2.15%.

Elsewhere, France's 10-year yield rose 4 bps to

3.046%, while Italian yields rose 3 bps to 3.525%.

The gap between Italian and German Bunds -

a gauge of the risk premium investors demand to hold Italian

debt - stood at 120.7 bps, trading in a tight range over the

past week.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved