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Bond yields steady after volatile session on Monday
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Markets focussing on negotiations and responses to tariffs
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German 2-year yield come off 2-1/2-yr low
(Updates with comments and details)
By Yadarisa Shabong
April 8 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields
edged up in less volatile trading on Tuesday after wild swings
the day before as traders weighed up U.S. trade policy and hoped
negotiations with Washington could help avert an escalating
dispute.
The European Commission said on Monday it had offered a
"zero-for-zero" tariff deal as EU ministers agreed to prioritise
negotiations as U.S. President Donald Trump's broader 20% tariff
on the European Union is set to come into effect on Wednesday.
Faced with sectoral tariffs on its steel and aluminium as
well as its cars, the Commission on Monday evening proposed its
first retaliatory tariffs at 25% on a range of U.S. imports in
response to the metals tariffs rather than the broader levies.
German 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the
euro zone bloc, steadied at 2.621%, up around 4 basis points
from the end of trading the previous day, when the yield rose 7
bps, according to LSEG data.
Euro zone bond prices were volatile on Monday as initial
buying due to safety-bids turned to heavy selling towards the
end of the European trading session due to a report of a
potential pause in tariffs.
However, that was short-lived as the White House called that
report "fake news". Yields fell back slightly after that. Yields
move inversely to prices.
Italy's 10-year yield eased to 3.862%, and the
gap between Italian and German 10-year bonds stood
at 121 bps.
'REVERSAL'
"We're seeing probably a reversal of yesterday to some
degree," RBC Capital Markets global macro strategist Peter
Schaffrik said.
"We see the curve which was steeper yesterday. We see it
being slightly flatter."
Germany's two-year bond yield, which is more
sensitive to European Central Bank rate expectations, was up 7.5
bps at 1.88%. The short-dated yield had hit a 2-1/2-year low of
1.665% on Monday.
Markets are currently pricing in a more than 85% chance of a
quarter-point cut by the ECB next week and see the key rate at
1.75% in December.
ECB policymaker Yannis Stournaras said on Tuesday that
expected higher inflation and a global trade war following U.S.
tariffs could delay the normalisation of euro zone monetary
policy.
Nomura now expects the ECB to cut rates in April in addition
to June, resulting in a terminal depo rate of 2.00% by mid-year,
it said in a note, lowering its euro area growth estimate and
raising its inflation forecast for the region due to tariffs.
Market will be looking at responses to tariffs from other
U.S. trading partners.
Trump threatened to ratchet up tariffs on U.S. imports from
China to more than 100% on Wednesday in response to China's
decision to match the "reciprocal" duties announced last week.