April 7 (Reuters) - Euro area short-dated government
bond yields hit fresh 2-1/2-year lows on Monday as investors
boosted bets on future European Central Bank rate cuts,
responding to fears about the economic impact of U.S. tariffs.
U.S. President Donald Trump warned foreign governments they
would have to pay "a lot of money" to lift sweeping tariffs,
characterising the duties as "medicine".
German two-year yield, more sensitive to the ECB
policy rates, dropped 12.5 basis points (bps) to 1.687%, its
lowest level since early October 2022.
Money markets priced in an ECB depo rate at 1.65% in
December from 1.75% on Friday and 1.9% last week shortly before
U.S. President Donald Trump announced U.S. tariffs. They also
discounted a 90% chance of a 25 bps cut next week.
"Markets are testing Trump's resolve, but the U.S. President
is still standing firm," said Rainer Guntermann, rate strategist
at Commerzbank.
Germany's 10-year yield, the euro area's
benchmark, fell 9.5 bps to 2.53%. It reached 2.487% on Friday,
its lowest since March 4.
On March 5, German long-dated yields recorded the biggest
daily rise in decades as German parties reached an agreement for
a massive ramp-up in fiscal spending on infrastructure and
defence investment.
A massive selloff in risky assets included Italian
government bonds, with the 10-year yield rising 2.5
bps to 3.84%.
The yield gap between BTPs and Bunds - a gauge
of risk premium investors ask to hold Italian debt - reached 124
bps its highest since mid-January.
European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel said that
the euro zone economy's long-standing structural headwinds have
been exacerbated by a surge in uncertainty, which may get even
worse in the wake of U.S. trade tariffs.
The yield gap between French and German bonds
rose to 77 bps.