(Updates in late European trading)
By Stefano Rebaudo
March 24 (Reuters) - Euro area yields rose slightly on
Monday after Purchasing Managers' Index data met expectations,
as investors balanced risks from U.S. tariffs against
expectations of stronger growth stemming from Germany's
investment plans.
U.S. bond yields
climbed
as investors moved out of fixed income and into stocks on
the back of optimism that U.S. President Donald Trump's April 2
tariffs would be narrower than expected. That also pushed up on
euro zone yields.
Investors had forecast German PMIs would rise sharply after
the government laid out plans for a surge in infrastructure and
defence spending. They had also expected the weak survey for
France as political uncertainty continued to weigh.
Euro zone business activity grew at its fastest pace in
seven months in March, supported by an easing in the
long-running manufacturing downturn.
Trump said there will be some flexibility in the tariff
policies that the U.S. administration should impose early next
month.
Markets were also watching negotiations over a possible
ceasefire in Ukraine as Russian and U.S. delegations began talks
in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on Monday morning.
"The March picture that the PMI paints is one of modest
improving growth with easing inflation," ING economist Bert
Colijn said.
"However, next week could already upend that picture as U.S.
tariff announcements and possible European retaliation may
change the economic landscape significantly."
Germany's 10-year government bond yields rose 2
basis points to 2.786%. They had reached 2.746% on Friday, their
lowest level since March 5.
Markets priced in a European Central Bank depo rate at 1.98%
at the end of 2025 and 2.02% in July next
year.
They briefly bet on an 80% chance of a rate hike in summer
2026. The ECB euro short-term rate forwards indicated a deposit
rate of 2.2% in July 2026, and 2% in December 2025.
Germany's 2-year yields, which are sensitive to
European Central Bank policy rates, were flat at 2.134%.
ECB board member Piero Cipollone said on Monday that key
elements such as energy price declines and the euro appreciation
strengthened the case for further interest rate cuts.
Italy's 10-year yields rose 1 basis point to
3.831%. The gap between Italian and German government bond
yields was 104 bps.