*
Latam FX set to gain 1%, stocks set to gain 2.6% this week
*
Mexican economy expected to stay sluggish, poll shows
*
Latam FX down 0.3%; stocks up 0.3%
(Updates to mid-session trading)
By Lisa Pauline Mattackal, Purvi Agarwal and Pranav Kashyap
Jan 17 (Reuters) - An index tracking Latin American
stocks slipped on Friday, as traders were closely analyzing the
potential impact of U.S. tariffs under the incoming
administration of President-elect Donald Trump, who is set to be
inaugurated next week.
MSCI's index tracking global emerging market currencies
pared gains and last trading flat. It earlier
rose after Trump said he had a good discussion with Chinese
leader Xi Jinping on a number of issues, including trade and
fentanyl.
In response to this news, most Latin American emerging
market currencies reversed earlier losses and gained strength
against the dollar.
Futures tracking China's Hang Seng Index jumped
1.2%.
The Mexican peso touched an over two-year low against
the dollar, before reversing course to rise 0.56%. The stock
index was up 0.44%.
The MSCI index tracking Latin American EM currencies
was down 0.3%. The index consisting of stocks
rose 0.3%. Both were set for their best weeks
since September and August respectively.
This week, Latin American markets managed to recover some of
their earlier declines. This rebound came after a U.S. inflation
report reignited discussions about the possibility of multiple
Federal Reserve rate cuts. This paused the rally in the dollar
and Treasury yields, which have been putting pressure on
emerging market assets.
Looking ahead to next week, attention will shift to the
inauguration of Trump as U.S. president.
Among Latin American economies, Mexico is expected to be the
most adversely affected by Trump's proposed tariffs. A Reuters
poll of analysts indicated that Mexico's economy is likely to
remain sluggish throughout the year.
"Moves in currency markets have for the most part remained
relatively muted ahead of Donald Trump's inauguration next week.
Next week may bring more volatility. Whether he delivers or
disappoints, markets are likely to react," Jonas Goltermann.
deputy chief markets economist at Capital Economics said.
In Brazil, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva promised to
introduce a minimum tax on all income earned by wealthy
individuals, in order to give tax relief to those earning under
5,000 reais ($824.72) per month, Finance Minister Fernando
Haddad said.
The real slipped 0.14%, while its Bovespa stock
index gained 0.8%.
In a positive development for Argentina, the country
reported its first trade surplus in over a decade in 2024, data
showed, marking a win for President Javier Milei and his
sweeping austerity push in his first full year in office.
Argentina's Merval index lost 4.1%, while its
peso was flat.
The Colombian peso pared early losses to trade flat.
Data showed November retail sales rose 10.4% on an annual basis,
while November industrial output slipped 0.8%.
The JP Morgan EMBI Global Index, which tracks emerging
market bonds, rose about 1% from the week prior.
Highlights:
**
Bolivia in talks with Argentina to restart gas supply amid
demand spike, executive says
** Argentina's economy rebounding 'quite strongly,' growth to
continue, IMF says
** Brazil's IGP-10 price index rises 0.53 pct in Jan
** European Union and Mexico re-ignite stalled upgrade to their
free trade deal ahead of Trump's inauguration
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Equities
Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging 1070.12 0.32
Markets
MSCI LatAm 1915.81 0.31
Brazil Bovespa 122245.92 0.83
Mexico IPC 50166.54 0.44
Chile IPSA 6957.97 0
Argentina MerVal 2520387.87 -4.14
Colombia COLCAP 1386.68 -0.56
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 6.0584 -0.14
Mexico peso 20.7124 0.56
Chile peso 1005.78 0.61
Colombia peso 4336.15 0.03
Peru sol 3.738 0.51
Argentina peso 1,041.5 0.00
(interbank)
Argentina peso 1,215.0 1.62
(parallel)