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Chile's peso jumps more than 1% against the dollar
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Brazil's central bank boosts 2024 GDP forecast
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Latin American currencies up 0.8%, stocks up nearly 2%
By Ankika Biswas
Sept 26 (Reuters) - Chile's peso led gains among most
Latin American currencies against the dollar on Thursday, riding
on the back of strong copper prices, while investors awaited
Mexico's interest rate decision later in the day.
Chile's peso strengthened more than 1% against the
greenback, hitting its highest level since early June, as copper
prices surged to 3-1/2-month highs. Peru's sol also
gained 0.4%. Chile is the largest producer of the metal, while
Peru is the second-largest.
The MSCI Latam currencies index rose 0.8% to
a one-week high, while the index tracking emerging market stocks
jumped more than 2% to a fresh two-year high, with
Chinese and Hong Kong stocks leading gains.
Metal prices rose across the board as top metals consumer
China pledged fresh stimulus measures, strengthening the demand
outlook.
Prices of iron ore futures also extended gains into a third
straight session, likely supporting the Brazilian real,
which gained 0.6% against the dollar.
Brazil's central bank raised its 2024 economic growth
forecast to 3.2% from 2.3% and said it expects the economy to
grow 2% in 2025, according to a quarterly inflation report.
The report emphasized that the increase in inflation
projections across the central bank's relevant horizon "resulted
primarily from stronger-than-expected economic activity, which
led to a rise in the estimated output gap, currency
depreciation, and higher inflation expectations."
"In Brazil, BRL trades are better after selling off on
fiscal news last week, with terms of trade and a softer CPI
(consumer price index) print than expected enough to halt ...
the DI (domestic investor) sell-off," Citi analysts noted.
Mexico's peso gained 0.4% amid expectations that the
central bank on Thursday will cut interest rates by 25 basis
points.
Brazil's central bank hiked rates earlier this week while
the U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a larger-than-usual
50-basis-point rate cut last week.
However, a more than 3% slide in oil prices, owing to the
prospect of Saudi Arabia raising output, pulled Colombia's peso
down 0.2% and also capped gains in the Mexico's peso.
The MSCI stocks index also jumped nearly 2%
to a one-week high, led by Brazilian stocks.
Elsewhere, the Turkish Central Bank said leading indicators
suggest monthly consumer inflation will slow in September, while
inflation expectations and pricing behavior continue to pose
risks to the disinflation process.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Nigeria's central bank sells FX at 1,590 naira per dollar
to exchange bureaus
** Polish central banker Kotecki sees up to 100 bps of cuts
in 2025 - Bloomberg
** China to issue $284 bln of sovereign debt this year to
help revive economy, sources say
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 1352 GMT:
Equities Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1161.01 2.13
MSCI LatAm 2279.39 1.58
Brazil Bovespa 132781.65 0.91
Mexico IPC 53474.26 0.5
Chile IPSA 6477.3 0.57
Argentina Merval 1744131.22 NULL
Colombia COLCAP 1322.03 0.06
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.4444 0.6
Mexico peso 19.555 0.35
Chile peso 901.8 1.14
Colombia peso 4214.07 -0.23
Peru sol 3.7337 0.39
Argentina peso (interbank) 968 -0.258264463
Argentina peso (parallel) 1220 2.049180328