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Latam, Caribbean growth to slow in 2024, says World Bank
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Mexico's annual inflation eases further, fueling rate-cut
bets
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Latam FX down 0.9%, stocks off 1.3%
(Updated at 1849 GMT)
By Shashwat Chauhan and Johann M Cherian
Oct 9 (Reuters) - Brazil led declines across most Latin
American equities on Wednesday after data pointed to local price
pressures picking up, while currencies in the region also took a
hit tracking lower commodity prices.
The Bovespa slid 1.3% to levels seen two months ago
after consumer prices in the region's biggest economy rose 4.42%
in September, closing in on the upper limit of the central
bank's target range.
The stocks index has fallen over 5% from its record high hit
in late August, as investors priced in further interest rate
hikes by the Copom to battle signs of resurgence in inflation.
The yield on 2-year bonds ticked up 9 basis
points, but the real depreciated 1% to touch a two-week
low as iron ore prices slipped.
Mexico's peso weakened 0.6%, while the local stock
index rose 0.5% after data showed the country's 12-month
headline inflation rate fell again in September, raising
expectations that the central bank will continue to cut its
benchmark interest rate.
"The September CPI print, alongside the weakness in the
economy and the fact that the Fed is now easing monetary policy
too, support our view that Banxico will cut rates by 25 bps at
each of the remaining meetings this year, taking the policy rate
to 10.00% by December," said Jason Tuvey, deputy chief emerging
markets economist at Capital Economics.
MSCI's index tracking Latin American currencies
dropped 0.9% to a two-week low, with oil
producer Colombia's peso off 0.1% as crude oil prices
fell more than 1%.
Late on Tuesday, Colombia's National Electoral Council
requested an investigation into the 2022 election campaign of
President Gustavo Petro over alleged violation of financing
limits.
Colombia's dollar-denominated bonds were slightly lower
across the board.
Slipping copper prices weighed on Chile's peso, with
the currency of the world's biggest producer of the red metal
down 0.1% against the dollar.
The dollar firmed globally ahead of the release of minutes
from the Fed's September policy meeting later in the day. A
consumer price index reading due on Thursday.
MSCI's index tracking regional bourses shed
1.3%, to a near one-month low, although Argentina's MerVal index
and Chilean stocks added 2% and 0.8%,
respectively.
Peruvian equities dropped 1.4% to a two-month
low. The country's state-run Fiscal Council said that the
current management of public finances had led to an
"uncontrolled" increase in the fiscal deficit to well above the
official rule.
Elsewhere, the World Bank said growth in Latin America and
the Caribbean is expected to weaken to 1.9% this year from 2.1%
in 2023 before accelerating again in 2025.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market
prices from Reuters
Equities Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1147.84 -0.73
MSCI LatAm 2178.81 -1.40
Brazil Bovespa 129834.15 -1.28
Mexico IPC 51983.04 0.42
Chile IPSA 6541.23 0.75
Argentina Merval 1764658.6 1.923
7
Colombia COLCAP 1305.12 0.39
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.5965 -1.11
Mexico peso 19.4747 -0.74
Chile peso 932.5 -0.09
Colombia peso 4231.86 -0.21
Peru sol 3.7197 0
Argentina peso 974.5 0.00
(interbank)
Argentina peso (parallel) 1155 1.73