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Trade deficit shrinks 10.8% to $70.4 billion in August
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Exports increase 2.0% to record high; imports fall 0.9%
By Lucia Mutikani
WASHINGTON, Oct 8 (Reuters) - The U.S. trade deficit
narrowed sharply in August as exports increased to a record
high, suggesting that trade could have little or no impact on
economic growth in the third quarter.
The smaller-than-expected trade gap reported by the Commerce
Department on Tuesday added to data on the labor market and
consumer spending in suggesting that the economy remained on
solid footing last quarter.
The economy's strength likely has no impact on expectations
that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again next
month. It, however, reinforced views that the U.S. central bank
did not need to pursue another half-percentage point rate
reduction.
"This report says that net trade supports GDP growth in
August," said Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency
Economics. "Putting together July and August figures suggests
that net trade is flat so far in third quarter, making no
significant addition or subtraction to GDP growth so far."
The trade gap contracted 10.8% to $70.4 billion, the
smallest in five months, from a revised $78.9 billion in July,
the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the trade deficit
would narrow to $70.6 billion from the previously reported $78.8
billion in July.
Exports increased 2.0% to a record $271.8 billion. Goods
exports surged 2.5% to $179.4 billion, the highest level since
September 2022. They were boosted by a $1.7 billion rise in
capital goods to a record high, mostly reflecting
telecommunications equipment, civilian aircraft, computer
accessories as well as other industrial machinery.
But exports of semiconductors fell.
Consumer goods exports increased $1.0 billion, lifted by
pharmaceutical preparations. Exports of industrial supplies and
materials increased as a $1.1 billion drop in crude oil was more
than offset by a $1.5 billion rise in nonmonetary gold.
Automotive vehicles, parts and engines increased, driven by
passenger car exports. Non petroleum exports were the highest on
record as were those of other goods.
Exports of services increased $0.9 billion to an all-time
high of $92.3 billion amid rises in travel as well as government
goods and services. But exports of transport services fell.
Imports decreased 0.9% to $342.2 billion. Goods imports
dropped 1.4% to $274.3 billion, pulled down by a $3.9 billion
decline in industrial supplies and materials as well as a $1.2
billion decrease in nonmonetary gold.
Crude oil imports fell $1.0 billion. Motor vehicles, parts
and engines imports decreased $1.3 billion, weighed down by
passenger cars. But imports of other goods were the highest
since December 2021. Goods imports had surged in the prior
months, likely as business rushed to bring in shipments in
anticipation of higher tariffs as well as a strike by dock
workers last week, which lasted only three days.
Imports of services increased $0.7 billion to an all-time
high of $67.9 billion amid gains in travel, charges for the use
of intellectual property. But imports of transport services
declined.
When adjusted for inflation, the goods trade deficit
declined 8.9% to $88.6 billion. The average of the so-called
real goods trade deficit for July and August roughly equals the
average for the second quarter.
Trade has subtracted from gross domestic product for two
straight quarters. Growth estimates for the third quarter are
currently as high as a 3.2% annualized rate. The economy grew at
a 3.0% pace in the April-June quarter.