Boomers’ dominance of the housing market is so complete that empty nesters own twice as many large homes as millennials with kids, Redfin analysis reveals
Baby Boomers Dominate Housing Market, Millennials Struggle to Find Affordable Homes
Empty Nesters Own Majority of Large Homes, Limiting Options for Families
Baby boomers continue to dominate the housing market, owning a significant portion of large homes that could potentially be used by millennials to raise their families. According to a recent analysis by Redfin, empty-nest boomers, defined as those with one to two people living in the household, own 28% of the country's large homes (three bedrooms or more), while millennials with kids own only 14%.
Financial Factors Favor Boomers' Homeownership
There are several reasons why boomers own a disproportionate share of large homes. First, many boomers own their homes outright, eliminating the need for mortgage payments. Their median monthly housing costs, including insurance and property taxes, are significantly lower than mortgage payments for millennials.
Additionally, boomers with mortgages often have much lower interest rates than current market rates, making it financially challenging for millennials to compete in the housing market.
Limited Supply and Rising Prices Exacerbate Housing Affordability Issues
The tight supply of existing homes for sale, coupled with the substantial price increases during the pandemic-fueled housing boom, has further exacerbated housing affordability issues for millennials. The affordability of homeownership is expected to improve in 2023, but it remains a significant challenge for many younger Americans.
Wealth Disparities and Historical Advantages Favor Boomers
Boomers hold a significant portion of the nation's wealth, much of it tied up in housing. This wealth advantage, coupled with favorable economic conditions during their prime moneymaking years, has allowed them to build substantial home equity and benefit from rising home values.
Millennials Face Rental Market Challenges
In response to the challenges of homeownership, many millennials with kids have turned to the rental market. They account for nearly 25% of three-bedroom-plus rentals throughout the country. However, not all millennials can afford to rent large homes, leading some to live with family or roommates.
Future Outlook: Gradual Improvement, But No Flood of Homes
While the housing market is expected to see some improvement in affordability and a slight easing of the lock-in effect, a flood of large homes hitting the market is unlikely in the near term. Boomers have little motivation to sell, given their low housing costs and the fact that many are still young enough to care for themselves and their homes without assistance.
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