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Fed rate decision due at 2:00 p.m. ET
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Intuitive Machines ( LUNR ) soar after clinching NASA contract
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Sirius XM gains after Guggenheim upgrades stock
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Futures: Dow up 0.16%, S&P 500 up 0.18%, Nasdaq up 0.25%
(Updated at 8:41 a.m. ET/1241 GMT)
By Johann M Cherian and Purvi Agarwal
Sept 18 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes were set
for a slightly higher open on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve
was widely expected to deliver its first interest rate cut in
more than four years, with most investors betting on a 50-basis
point reduction.
Borrowing costs have stayed at their highest levels in over
two decades since July 2023, when the central bank last hiked
interest rates by 25 basis points to between 5.25% and 5.50% to
combat inflation. But the focus recently has been more about a
moderating labor market.
At 8:41 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 66 points,
or 0.16%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 10 points, or 0.18%
and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 48 points, or 0.25%.
Futures linked to the Russell 2000 index, tracking
small caps which tend to fare better in a lower interest-rate
environment, slipped 0.11%.
The benchmark S&P 500 and the blue-chip Dow
both recovered from an early August rout to clinch intraday
record highs in the previous session, after a batch of data
hinted at a still-robust economy ahead of the Fed decision,
expected at 2:00 p.m. ET.
Economic indicators over the previous one month have been
relatively mixed, making investors nervous ahead of the least
predictable Fed decision in years.
Following dovish commentary from present and former Fed
officials recently, traders are now pricing in 63% chances of a
bigger 50-basis-point reduction, according to the CME Group's
FedWatch tool.
Analysts, however, caution that an outsized move from the
central bank could spook markets, which are already nervous
about the overall health of the world's biggest economy.
Bets for a smaller 25-bps cut have now slipped to 37% from
86% a week ago. Investors will also be watching for comments
from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 2:30 p.m. ET to gauge the
central bank's stance on the economy and prospects of further
rate cuts this year.
"Rarely has the market been so torn, so close to a Fed
decision. Most macro watchers believe the ongoing strength of
the economy justifies a 25 bps cut," said Seema Shah, chief
global strategist at Principal Asset Management.
"Furthermore, history suggests a 50 bps cut is more
likely in times of severe financial stress or major job losses -
neither is present today."
Markets have rallied this year, with all three major indexes
setting record highs on prospects of lower interest rates as
inflation moderated and the jobs market showed gradual signs of
cooling.
Stock
options are pricing
an about 1.1% swing, in either direction, for the S&P 500
after the verdict on Wednesday, according to options analytics
service ORATS.
Heavyweight growth stocks edged higher in premarket trading.
Alphabet added 0.9%, while Meta rose 0.5%.
Among top movers, Intuitive Machines ( LUNR ) jumped 54%
after clinching a $4.8 billion navigation services contract from
NASA.
General Mills ( GIS ) fell 2.7% after the Cheerios maker
posted first-quarter results.
Sirius XM Holdings ( SIRI ) gained 2.5% after Guggenheim
upgraded the radio company's stock to "buy" from "neutral".
On the data front, housing starts stood at 1.356 million
in August, compared to estimates of 1.31 million as per
economists polled by Reuters.