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Focus on tariffs, data and Fed
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Trump to announce extensive tariffs on Wednesday
(Updates to market close)
By David French
March 31 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones
Industrial Average ended higher on Monday, as the benchmarks
temporarily shook off the uncertainty around the Trump
administration's upcoming tariff plans which had dragged down
U.S. equity markets through the month of March.
Global stocks had earlier tumbled, gold prices scaled new
highs and U.S. government bonds climbed after U.S. President
Donald Trump said on Sunday that expected tariffs he is set to
announce on Wednesday will include all nations.
He has already imposed tariffs on aluminum, steel and autos,
along with increased tariffs on goods from China.
"Investors are parsing every single word coming out of the
administration right now that has anything tangentially to do
with trade," said Michael Reynolds, vice president of investment
strategy at Glenmede.
Reynolds noted it is not just the details of the tariffs
themselves being unveiled on April 2, but markets are hoping to
know the process through which tariffs will be deployed. More
certainty around the rules of the road could actually be a good
thing for markets, he added.
The uncertainty around trade policy, tariffs and the Trump
administration has resulted in U.S. stock markets selling off so
far this year. The prospect of broad swathes of tariffs has
raised fears of a global trade war that would hurt economic
growth and spur inflation.
The three major U.S. indexes recorded sharp monthly and
quarterly losses.
However, on Monday, the Dow traded up, while the S&P 500
also rallied from negative territory in the afternoon session to
post a higher close.
According to preliminary data, the S&P 500
gained 31.68 points, or 0.57%, to end at 5,611.93 points,
while the Nasdaq Composite lost 28.03 points, or 0.16%,
to 17,294.96. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose 415.75 points, or 1.00%, to 41,999.65.
Financial stocks helped boost the S&P 500. Both Discover
Financial Services ( DFS ) and Capital One Financial ( COF )
advanced, as investors bet their merger would ultimately be
approved.
Tech stocks suffered from some weakness, including Nvidia ( NVDA )
and Microsoft ( MSFT ) trading down, as investors
worried about companies' spending plans for artificial
intelligence.
Tesla fell after investment bank Stifel lowered the
electric-vehicle maker's delivery forecast ahead of Wednesday's
first-quarter report.
The S&P 500 consumer staples sector, often
considered a safe haven within stock markets, was higher, while
the energy index advanced, tracking a jump in crude
prices.
The domestically focused Russell 2000 Index was down.
The CBOE Volatility Index, Wall Street's so-called
fear gauge, jumped to a two-week high.
As a result of tariff uncertainties, Goldman Sachs raised
the probability of a U.S. recession to 35% from 20%, cut its
year-end target for the S&P 500 to 5,700, and forecast more
interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Focus this week will also be on economic data, including ISM
business activity surveys and the crucial non-farm payrolls
report. Also due this week are speeches from several U.S.
central bank officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Drugmakers' shares slid after reports the U.S. Food and Drug
Administration's top vaccine official had been forced to resign.
Moderna ( MRNA ) dropped, as did Pfizer ( PFE ).
Gene therapy companies Taysha Gene Therapies ( TSHA ) and
Solid Biosciences ( SLDB ) both fell.
In deals news, Rocket Companies ( RKT ) was down after the
mortgage lender said it agreed to a $9.4 billion acquisition of
Mr Cooper Group ( COOP ). The announcement, though, sent the
mortgage servicer's stock up.