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US STOCKS-Futures tread water ahead of retail sales data
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US STOCKS-Futures tread water ahead of retail sales data
Jul 16, 2024 3:29 AM

(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock

markets, click or type LIVE/ in a news window)

*

Futures up: Dow 0.08%, S&P 500 0.02%, Nasdaq 0.02%

July 16 (Reuters) - Wall Street futures were steady on

Tuesday after the main U.S. indexes rallied in the previous

session, as markets awaited retail sales numbers and a bevy of

corporate earnings.

Equity markets jumped on Monday, with the Dow Jones

Industrial Average notching a record closing high, as

investors priced in higher chances of a Federal Reserve

interest-rate cut in September and a second term for

presidential candidate Donald Trump following an assassination

attempt.

Futures tracking the economically sensitive small-cap

Russell 2000 rose 0.9% as investors looked to continue

moving away from the heavily weighted large tech companies that

have driven most of Wall Street's rallies this year.

Attention now shifts to retail sales to assess how consumers

in the United States have responded to persistent inflation.

June retail sales are expected to fall 0.3% on a monthly basis,

according to economists polled by Reuters. Core retail prices,

however, are expected to remain unchanged.

"Macro policy still trumps US election uncertainty for now,

as recent data confirms the disinflation trend," strategists at

J.P.Morgan said in a note.

Markets took it as a dovish signal when Federal Reserve

Chairman Jerome Powell said on Monday that the latest economic

data "add(s) somewhat to confidence" that inflation was

returning to the central bank's 2% target.

Traders now see interest rates falling by September, with a

nearly 86% chance of a 25-basis-point reduction by that meeting,

according to the CME's FedWatch.

Bank of America's ( BAC ) global fund manager survey showed

investors remained bullish in July, expecting U.S. interest

rates to fall soon and support the economy. However, they now

view geopolitics as the biggest risk to that scenario.

Although investors perceived a potential second presidential

term for Trump as a positive sign for equities after he survived

the shooting at his campaign rally on Saturday, the unease was

palpable as Wall Street's "fear gauge" briefly touched

its highest level in three weeks.

The former president formally selected Senator J.D. Vance as

his running mate on Monday.

Corporate earnings from companies including Bank of America ( BAC )

and Morgan Stanley ( MS ) are expected before the bell.

Their shares rose 0.3% and 0.6%, respectively, in premarket

trading.

At 5:31 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 34 points, or

0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.02%,

and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 3.5 points, or 0.02%.

Among single movers, shares of Tinder owner Match

jumped 8.3% after a report that activist investor Starboard has

a stake of more than 6.5% in the company and was pushing for a

possible sale if a turnaround wasn't successful.

Shares of companies linked to Donald Trump retreated after

gaining sharply on Monday, with Trump Media & Technology Group ( DJT )

losing 8.5% and video-sharing platform Rumble

falling 1.4%.

Shares of electric-vehicle maker Tesla gained 1.6%

after a report that CEO Elon Musk planned to commit around $45

million a month to a new pro-Trump super political action

committee.

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