(Recasts with preliminary market close, adds analyst comment)
By Sinéad Carew and Purvi Agarwal
Nov 13 (Reuters) - The Dow and the S&P 500 rose slightly
on Wednesday after October data showed consumer prices rising in
line with expectations, adding support to bets that the U.S.
Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December.
The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% in October for the
fourth straight month and advanced 2.6% on an annual basis, the
Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said. Excluding
the volatile food and energy components, the CPI increased 0.3%
in October, meeting economists' forecasts.
After the report, traders' bets reflected a more than 82%
probability for a 25 basis-point interest rate cut at the Fed's
December meeting, up from 58.7% on Monday, according to CME
group's FedWatch tool.
While some Fed officials sounded more cautious on Wednesday,
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari told Bloomberg TV that
he was confident inflation was headed down, noting that the CPI
data "confirms" that downward path.
"There's some relief inflation didn't come in ahead of
expectations. That was a concern coming into today's CPI
report," said Angelo Kourkafas, senior investment strategist at
Edward Jones. "The fact we got a right in-line number helped
alleviate some of those fears. Nothing we saw today from today's
data argues against a December rate cut."
Outperformance in the consumer discretionary sector index
, up more than 1% on the day, was likely due to bets on
rate cuts, according to Kourkafas.
Still, Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan said the
U.S. central bank should proceed cautiously on further interest
rate cuts to keep from inadvertently re-igniting inflation.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said the Fed is in
the "last mile" of its inflation fight though recent data raised
the risk that progress may slow or reverse, on Wednesday.
According to preliminary data, the S&P 500
gained 2.98 points, or 0.05%, to end at 5,986.97 points,
while the Nasdaq Composite lost 45.18 points, or 0.23%,
to 19,236.22. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 50.22
points, or 0.11%, to 43,960.43.
Also implying December rate cut bets, U.S. Treasury
2-year yields fell sharply after the inflation
report.
However, the benchmark 10-year yield regained
ground it lost after the data and rose as high as 4.46% as
investors focused on longer-term expectations that
President-elect Donald Trump's policies could exacerbate
inflation.
Despite inflation worries, investors are hopeful of a
pro-business stance and possible tax cuts from the incoming U.S.
president. Media outlets projected on Wednesday that the
Republican Party had won a majority in the House of
Representatives as well as the Senate.
"The market has already reacted quite positively to the
election news," said Venu Krishna, head of U.S. equity strategy
and global equity-linked strategies at Barclays. "A lot of the
optimism is baked in but what's not baked in fully is some of
the uncertainty that comes with certain significant policy
postures."
But while Krishna sees upside momentum for risk assets from
Republican policies, he said the market is contending with
concerns that "rates, inflation and valuations are bigger
headwinds now than they were in 2016, the last time Trump became
president."
In individual shares, Spirit Airlines' ( SAVE ) shares
plunged on Wednesday after a report the U.S. carrier is
preparing to file for bankruptcy protection, while the company
said it is talking with creditors.
Shares of EV maker Rivian soared after Volkswagen
on Tuesday raised its investment in the company by
16% to $5.8 billion.