May 9 (Reuters) - Benchmark Treasury yields edged higher
on Thursday, following a brief dip after data showed the number
of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits
increased more than expected last week.
Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased
22,000 to a seasonally adjusted 231,000 for the week. Economists
polled by Reuters had forecast 215,000 claims in the latest
week.
"If you just read it on the surface, it looks like one of
the uglier numbers that we've seen in the last several months,"
said Thomas Simons, a money market economist at Jefferies in New
York, but "volatility around the first of the month is not
unusual."
Some said the rise last week was likely related to seasonal
issues, with school spring breaks out of the way.
Traders are focused on data for fresh clues on when the U.S.
Federal Reserve is likely to begin cutting interest rates.
Yields fell to one-month lows on Friday after jobs data for
April was below economists' expectations. That came after the
Fed on Wednesday said it still expects a rate cut to be its next
move even as inflation remains stubbornly above its 2% annual
target.
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly may offer new insight
into the Fed's thinking when she speaks later on Thursday.
Traders are pricing in the probability of two 25 basis point
cuts this year, with the first expected in September, but any
cuts will likely depend on whether inflation can resume its
easing trend.
That will make next week's consumer price inflation report
for April a key focus.
Benchmark 10-year note yields were last up 1
basis points at 4.496%, after earlier falling to 4.477%.
Two-year yields, which typically move in step
with interest rate expectations, fell 2 basis points to 4.822%.
The inversion in the yield curve between two-year and
10-year yields narrowed 2 basis points to minus
33 basis points.
The Treasury will sell $25 billion in 30-year bonds on
Thursday, the final sale of $125 billion in coupon-bearing
supply this week.
The government saw good demand for a $42 billion auction of
10-year notes on Wednesday and a $58 billion sale of three-year
notes on Tuesday.