(Updates as of 9:30 am ET)
By David Randall
NEW YORK, April 18 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields
continued to move higher on Thursday as investors weighed
economic data and warnings from Federal Reserve officials that
the decline in inflation may have stalled.
Yields have jumped near five-month highs this week following
stronger-than-expected inflation data last week. Markets are now
pricing in a total of 42 basis points in cuts by the end of this
year, down from more than 160 basis points in cuts expected in
January, and now see the first cut coming in September,
according to CME's FedWatch Tool.
Data from the Labor Department on Thursday showed the number
of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits was
unchanged last week, pointing to continued labor market
strength. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits
remained at a seasonally adjusted 212,000 for the week ended
April 13. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 215,000
claims in the latest week.
"The extremely steady reads on recent claims data suggest
that the trend of solid payroll increases should continue, and
that the unemployment rate will remain solidly below 4%," said
Thomas Simons, US economist at Jefferies.
Federal Reserve officials have noted the continued strength
of the U.S. labor market as a reason to delay cutting interest
rates to avoid a re-acceleration of inflation.
Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester said
on Wednesday that she wants to see more confidence that
inflation is easing before the central bank begins cutting
rates.
"At some point, as we get more confidence, we will start to
normalize policy back to a less restrictive stance, but we don't
have to do that in a hurry," Mester said.
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman warned in a separate speech on
Wednesday that "Progress on inflation has slowed, and ... maybe
it is even stalled at this point."
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was up 2.5
basis points to 4.610%. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond
was up 1.5 basis points to 4.714%.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically
moves in step with interest rate expectations, was up 2.8 basis
points at 4.961%.