(Adds ISM data in paragraph 2, analyst note in paragraph 4)
By David Randall
NEW YORK, July 3 (Reuters) - Benchmark 10-year Treasury
yields fell on Wednesday after growing signs of weakness in
manufacturing and the jobs market suggested the U.S. economy was
slowing.
The ISM Non-Manufacturing index came in at 48.8 in June,
well below the consensus of 52.5 and the 53.8 level in May.
Initial claims for unemployment rose 238,000 in the week ended
June 29, slightly above expectations of 235,000, and up from
234,000 the prior week, the Labor Department said.
Data released earlier in the day by ADP showed private
payrolls rose by 150,000 jobs in June, below consensus estimates
of an increase of 160,000.
"The economy seems to have weakened at quarter-end," said
Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank.
The Federal Reserve has cited the labor market's resilience
in the face of interest rates at nearly two-decade highs as one
reason why it has yet to cut rates. Futures markets are pricing
in roughly 45 basis points in cumulative rate cuts by the end of
the year.
The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note yield
fell 8.9 basis points to 4.347%. The yield on the 30-year bond
dropped 8.5 basis points to 4.524%.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically
moves in step with interest rate expectations, fell 5.4 basis
points to 4.685%.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, an indicator of economic expectations, was
at a negative 34.0 basis points. It had touched its least
shallow inversion since May earlier in the week.
The bond market will close at 2 p.m. ET ahead of the July
Fourth U.S. Independence Day holiday and will reopen on Friday.