(Adds details, prices, investor, context throughout)
By Davide Barbuscia
NEW YORK, April 11 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields were
mixed on Thursday morning after the release of
softer-than-expected March producer prices data, with two-year
yields hitting 5% for the first time since November.
The producer price index rose 0.2% month-on-month in March,
below an expected 0.3% increase. Meanwhile, the number of
Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell more
than expected last week, suggesting the labor market remained
fairly tight.
Yields, which move inversely to prices, remained high on the
back of hotter-than-anticipated inflation data on Wednesday that
has raised doubt over the Federal Reserve's ability to lower
interest rates later this year.
Benchmark 10-year yields were last seen at
4.568%, roughly in line with Wednesday's levels. Two-year yields
, which tend to more directly reflect expectations on
monetary policy, were last at 4.948%, about 2 basis points
lower.
While producer prices for March were welcome news on
Thursday, investors were still scarred by Wednesday's release of
the consumer price index, which showed inflation remains sticky.
"The big event really was yesterday's CPI," said Michael
Reynolds, vice president of investment strategy at Glenmede.
"September is probably our best guess for a first rate cut,
but that means you have to see inflation get back down ... and
we just haven't seen that yet this year," he said.
On the back of Wednesday's inflation data, traders have
trimmed their expectations for rate cuts this year to less than
two, below the three cuts Fed officials had penciled in last
month. On Thursday, fed funds futures were showing expectations
of a total of about 44 basis points of cuts this year.
"PPI ran cool in March, but not by enough to negate the
signal from the first quarter's hot CPI reports," Bill Adams,
chief economist for Comerica Bank, said in a note. "The Fed will
likely wait until the third quarter to begin reducing interest
rates," he said.
Minutes of the Fed's March rate-setting meeting, released on
Wednesday, showed Fed officials had begun worrying last month
that progress on cooling inflation might have stalled and that a
longer period of tight monetary policy could be needed.
On Thursday, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John
Williams said the uncertain outlook means the Fed must watch
incoming data to set rate policy.
Later on Thursday, the Treasury will sell $22 billion in
30-year notes. A $39 billion 10-year note auction on Wednesday
showed investors demanded a premium to absorb the issuance,
despite yields having soared because of rising price pressures.