March 19 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields ticked down on
Tuesday from their near-February highs, as traders look ahead to
the Federal Reserve's press conference on Wednesday for signs of
its interest rate path for the rest of the year.
Benchmark 10-year notes' yields fell to 4.312%,
from their close of 4.340% on Monday. Yields had approached
their February high of 4.354% on Monday.
Two-year yields ticked down to 4.697%, declining
from their Monday close of 4.736%.
The inversion in the yield curve between two-year and
10-year notes narrowed by 2 basis points to minus
39 basis points.
The market's attention is on the Fed's two-day meeting
beginning Tuesday, with its press conference and interest rate
decision for this month on Wednesday. The central bank is
expected to hold rates steady, but traders are paying close
attention to its economic and interest rate projections for the
remainder of the year.
Strong economic data reports last week, including the
consumer price index (CPI) and the producer price index (PPI)
for February exceeding forecasts, have raised questions among
traders about the widely expected June start to the Fed's rate
cuts. Nonetheless, the Fed's comments on Wednesday will hold
greater significance than the recent data for some traders.
"There's so much data, and especially this data at the
beginning of the year," said Michael Lorizio, senior fixed
income trader at Manulife Investment Management.
"And because economists with tremendous amounts of
experience and resources are saying there's so much seasonality
impacting these readings, I think we do need to see - and the
Fed rightfully deserves to see - where things are trending
before coming to any sort of major conclusions," he said.
Traders in Fed funds futures have increased their bets that
the Fed will cut rates by June to 62%, from 54% on Monday,
according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
The economic data calendar is light this week in lieu of the
Fed's two-day meeting. February housing starts and building
permits figures came in stronger than expected on Tuesday.
The U.S. Treasury Department on Tuesday will hold auctions
for $75 billion in 42-day bills, $46 billion in 52-week bills
and $13 billion in 20-year bonds.