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Consumer price inflation rose less than expected in
February
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Treasury sees good demand for 10-year note auction
(Updated in New York afternoon time)
By Karen Brettell
March 12 (Reuters) -
U.S. Treasury yields rose on Wednesday on the potentially
inflationary impact of a global trade war, offsetting optimism
over slowing consumer price gains in February.
Underlying components of the data that feed through to
personal consumption expenditures, the Federal Reserve's
preferred inflation measure, were higher than expected.
"This is the last reading not impacted by tariff
distortions, so to some extent the market's a little bit
hesitant to over react to a better print," said Gennadiy
Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy at TD Securities in New
York. "The transmission to PCE is actually a little bit
stronger," he added.
The consumer price index rose 0.2% last month after
accelerating 0.5% in January. Excluding the volatile food and
energy components, the CPI climbed 0.2% in February after
gaining 0.4% in January.
President Donald Trump's increased tariffs on all U.S. steel
and aluminum imports took effect on Wednesday, stepping up a
campaign to reorder global trade in favor of the U.S. and
drawing swift retaliation from Canada and Europe.
February's producer price inflation report on Thursday will
also be evaluated for how it will impact PCE, which will be
released on March 28.
A bond market rally that last week sent benchmark 10-year
yields to their lowest levels since October is seen as
potentially played out for the near-term.
"The market's already rallied quite a bit over the last
couple of weeks. There is a little bit of hesitation about
pushing rates too far lower in advance of a lot of the
uncertainty that's coming," Goldberg said.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes was
last up 3 basis points on the day at 4.318%. The 2-year note
yield gained 5.6 basis points to 3.997%.
The yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes
flattened by around 2 basis points to 32 basis
points.
Traders are also watching developments in peace talks to end
the war between Russia and Ukraine.
The Kremlin said on Wednesday it was awaiting details from
Washington about a proposal for a 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine
while senior Moscow sources said a deal would have to take
account of Russia's advances and address its concerns.
The Treasury saw good demand for a $39 billion sale of
10-year notes on Wednesday, the second sale of $119 billion in
coupon-bearing debt this week.
The notes sold at a high yield of 4.310%, around half a
basis point below where they traded before the auction. Demand
was 2.59 times the amount of debt on offer, the highest ratio
since December.
The Treasury also sold $58 billion in three-year notes on
Tuesday and will auction $22 billion in 30-year bonds on
Thursday.
The spreads between the yields on corporate bonds and U.S.
Treasuries, meanwhile, hit their widest since September this
week, pointing to mounting investor worries about recession and
a global trade war.